Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 30

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Stade de la Meinau (Strasbourg)

Referee: Buquet R. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 4
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Bolivia	ESPN 4
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 3
Brazil	Caze TV
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 4
Croatia	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 5, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Ecuador	ESPN 4
Finland	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Italy	Ligue 1+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	FOX One
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Paraguay	ESPN 4
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 4
Poland	Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	Sport TV6
Romania	Voyo
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 4
Slovakia	Nova Sport 5, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Ligue 1+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 4
World	Onefootball


	Strasbourg		Rennes

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.75	2.25	Watch
	2.85	3.55	2.38	Watch
	3.01	3.7	2.4
	2.8	3.63	2.38	Watch
	2.75	3.5	2.3
	2.98	3.74	2.43	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↑ (2.46)	3.65 ↓ (3.83)	2.36 ↓ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Strasbourg
33.2%

Draw
26.2%

Rennes
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

24.7%

36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

25.3%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Strasbourg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Strasbourg's form might have worsened.

Rennes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Strasbourg than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Strasbourg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rennes than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	27.3%	45.5%

Strasbourg - Rennes Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Strasbourg will win (votes: 9 - 27.3%). Rennes will win (votes: 15 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rennes: 28.5% – 62.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Strasbourg (votes: 2 - 40%). Rennes (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Rennes (1.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Strasbourg (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Rennes (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
39. Penders M. (C) 45. Cisse A. 18. Mwanga J. 24. Hogsberg L. 83. Luis R. 8. Oyedele M. 34. Sabaly I. 80. Yassine G. 27. Amo-Ameyaw S. 11. Nanasi S. 15. Fofana D. D.	30. Samba B. (G) 36. Seidu A. 48. Ait Boudlal A. 3. Brassier L. 26. Merlin Q. 10. Blas L. 17. Szymanski S. 45. Camara M. 11. Tamari M. 9. Lepaul E. 7. Embolo B. (C)
Substitutes
50. Bajic S. (G) 35. Becker Y. 33. Bosey J. 29. El Mourabet S. 19. Enciso J. 20. Godo M. 1. Johnsson K. (G) 28. Noubissie T. 2. Omobamidele A.	6. Cisse D. 69. Do Marcolino H. 4. Kamara G. 65. Mukiele N. 18. Nagida M. 70. Nordin A. 24. Rouault A. 50. Silistrie M. (G) 77. Zabiri Y.
Coaches
O'Neil G.	Haise F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Lepaul E. ⚽, Szymanski S. (A),
44', Szymanski S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Fofana D. D. ↓, Godo M. ↑,
50', 0 - 2, Embolo B. ⚽, Lepaul E. (A),
52', 0 - 3, Tamari M. ⚽, Blas L. (A),
57', Oyedele M. ↓, El Mourabet S. ↑,
57', Yassine G. ↓, Omobamidele A. ↑,
57', Sabaly I. ↓, Enciso J. ↑,
68', Tamari M. ↓, Nordin A. ↑,
68', Embolo B. ↓, Cisse D. ↑,
68', Seidu A. ↓, Nagida M. ↑,
82', Nanasi S. ↓, Noubissie T. ↑,
82', Camara M. ↓, Kamara G. ↑,
86', Szymanski S. ↓, Zabiri Y. ↑,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 8 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Strasbourg won 2.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Rennes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Strasbourg: Anselmino A. (Inactive) Panichelli J. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Rennes: Frankowski P. (Injury) Jacquet J. (Shoulder Injury) Rongier V. (Yellow Cards) Rosier L. (Injury)

There are questionable in Strasbourg: Barco V. (Leg Injury) Doue G. (Inactive)

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Strasbourg won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 18:25. (average 1.1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Strasbourg won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.4:1.4).

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Rennes: 3.09% Strasbourg: 0.71%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Rennes	5	3	1	1	8:9	-1	10
9	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	10:10	0	7

Last Results with these Odds

Rennes - the odds 2.56 are the expected chance of winning is 36.91%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RC Strasbourg
UEFA Europa Conference League
16.04.26	Strasbourg - Mainz	4:0 ✺
09.04.26	Mainz - Strasbourg	2:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
04.04.26	Strasbourg - Nice	3:1 ✺
22.03.26	Nantes - Strasbourg	2:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
19.03.26	Strasbourg - Rijeka	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLWWT
- Stade Rennes
French Ligue 1
11.04.26	Rennes - Angers	2:1 ✺
04.04.26	Brest - Rennes	3:4 ✺
22.03.26	Rennes - Metz	0:0 ✺
15.03.26	Rennes - Lille	1:2 ✺
08.03.26	Nice - Rennes	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
02.11.25	Rennes - Strasbourg	4:1
02.02.25	Rennes - Strasbourg	1:0
25.08.24	Strasbourg - Rennes	3:1
31.03.24	Strasbourg - Rennes	2:0
29.10.23	Rennes - Strasbourg	1:1
01.02.23	Rennes - Strasbourg	3:0
01.10.22	Strasbourg - Rennes	1:3

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