Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 1 - Round 23

Date: 21 February 2025, Friday

Location: Roazhon Park (Rennes)

Referee: Bollengier M. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Rennes		Reims

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.4	3.1	Watch
	2.3	3.3	3
				Watch
				Watch
	2.25	3.3	3
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (1.84)	3.33 ↓ (3.72)	3.03 ↓ (4.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rennes
41.2%

Draw
28%

Reims
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

25.7%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

25.6%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rennes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rennes's form might have worsened.

Reims has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Reims's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rennes than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rennes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reims than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Reims, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
65.8%	23.7%	10.5%

Rennes - Reims Predictions

Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. Rennes will win (votes: 24 - 64.9%). Reims will win (votes: 4 - 10.8%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 24.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rennes: 49.5% – 80.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Mandanda S. (G) 33. Hateboer H. 97. Jacquet J. 5. Brassier L. 22. Assignon L. 17. James J. 38. Cisse D. 3. Truffert A. (C) 11. Tamari M. 8. Fofana S. 9. Kalimuendo A.	94. Diouf Y. (G) 3. Hiroki S. 2. Okumu J. 21. Kipre C. 55. Sangui N. 24. Gbane M. 72. Kone A. 7. Ito J. 10. Teuma T. (C) 17. Nakamura K. 22. Diakite O.
Substitutes
32. Ahamada N. 7. Furuhashi K. 23. Gallon G. (G) 20. Gomez C. A. 90. Kone I. 6. Matusiwa A. 18. Nagida M. 19. Olaigbe K. 28. Sishuba A.	6. Atangana Edoa V. 23. Buta 16. Butelle L. (G) 67. Diakhon M. 85. Ibrahim H. 31. Jeng M. 20. Olliero A. (G) 30. Patrick J. 74. Sissoko N.
Coaches
Beye H.	Diawara S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', Kipre C. 🟥,
10', 1 - 0, Kalimuendo A. (Pen),
38', Cisse D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Diakite O. ↓, Atangana Edoa V. ↑,
46', Kone A. ↓, Patrick J. ↑,
60', Teuma T. ↓, Diakhon M. ↑,
61', Tamari M. ↓, Olaigbe K. ↑,
61', Fofana S. ↓, Kone I. ↑,
73', Ito J. ↓, Ibrahim H. ↑,
73', Sangui N. ↓, Buta ↑,
74', Assignon L. ↓, Gomez C. A. ↑,
79', Ibrahim H. 🟨,
89', Ibrahim H. 🟨,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 13 and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rennes won 2.

Recent matches Rennes is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Reims is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Rennes is a favorite.

There will not play in Rennes: Alemdar D. (Knee Injury) Blas L. (Yellow Cards) Samba B. (Yellow Cards) Seidu A. (Knee Injury) Wooh C. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Reims: Daramy M. (Knee Injury) Fofana Y. (Ankle Injury) Khadra R. (Knee Injury) Kone A. (Injury) Siebatcheu J. (Muscle Injury) Zabi (Red Card)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Rennes won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 29:32 (average 1.5:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Rennes won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 16:14 (average 1.6:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stade Rennes
French Ligue 1
16.02.25	Rennes - Lille	0:2 ✺
08.02.25	Saint-Étienne - Rennes	0:2 ✺
02.02.25	Rennes - Strasbourg	1:0 ✺
25.01.25	Monaco - Rennes	3:2 ✺
18.01.25	Rennes - Brest	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWWLL
- Stade de Reims
French Ligue 1
16.02.25	Reims - Angers	0:1 ✺
09.02.25	Lyon - Reims	4:0 ✺
Coupe De France
06.02.25	Bourgoin-Jallieu - Reims	0:1 penalties ✺
French Ligue 1
02.02.25	Reims - Nantes	1:2 ✺
25.01.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Reims	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
01.09.24	Reims - Rennes	2:1
19.05.24	Reims - Rennes	2:1
26.11.23	Rennes - Reims	3:1
15.04.23	Rennes - Reims	3:0
29.12.22	Reims - Rennes	3:1
09.04.22	Reims - Rennes	2:3
12.09.21	Rennes - Reims	0:2

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