Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 7

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade Jean Bouin (Paris) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Dechepy B. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	12:15	Disney+
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Austria	17:15	DAZN
Cambodia	22:15	MyTV
Canada	11:15	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	12:15	Disney+
China	23:15	Migu
Colombia	10:15	Disney+
Croatia	17:15	Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	17:15	Viaplay
Finland	18:15	Viaplay
France	17:15	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Germany	17:15	DAZN Deutsch
Hong Kong	23:15	beIN SPORTS MAX
Indonesia	22:15	Vidio
Italy	17:15	Ligue 1+
Japan	00:15	DAZN Japan
Mexico	09:15	FOX One
Netherlands	17:15	Viaplay
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	17:15	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	10:15	Disney+
Poland	17:15	Eleven Sports 3
Romania	18:15	Voyo
South Korea	00:15	Coupang Play
Spain	17:15	DAZN Espana
Sweden	17:15	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Switzerland	17:15	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	18:15	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Digiturk
Ukraine	18:15	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	16:15	Ligue 1+
Uruguay	12:15	Disney+
Usa	11:15	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Tubi TV
Venezuela	11:15	Disney+
Vietnam	22:15	ON Plus, VTVcab
International	15:15	OneFootball TV


	Paris FC		Rennes

	1	X	2
	2	3.75	3.4	Watch
	2.05	3.60	3.40
	2.05	3.5	3.45	Watch
	2.08	3.75	3.6
	2	3.61	3.64	Watch
	2.06	3.65	3.55
	2.04	3.82	3.46	Watch
	2.02	3.8	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.38)	3.69 ↑ (3.44)	3.51 ↑ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paris FC
46.9%

Draw
25.9%

Rennes
27.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.8%

27.5%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

27.3%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paris FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Paris FC's performance.

Rennes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rennes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris FC than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Paris FC that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rennes than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rennes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	10%	30%

Paris FC - Rennes Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Paris FC will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Rennes will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paris FC: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Rennes (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Rennes (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Trapp K. (G) 17. Camara A. 31. Chergui S. 42. Coppola D. 14. Traore H. 20. Lopez M. 33. Lees-Melou P. (C) 10. Kebbal I. 7. Pagis P. 15. Koleosho L. 9. Sinayoko L.	30. Samba B. (C) 14. Reynolds B. 4. Cresswell C. 24. Rouault A. 95. Frankowski P. 17. Szymanski S. 6. Cisse D. 28. Thomasson A. 10. Blas L. 9. Lepaul E. 90. Soumare I.
Substitutes
11. Krasso J. 23. Matondo R. 3. Mbemba E. 5. Mbow M. 16. Nkambadio O. (G) 6. Otavio 27. Simon M. 18. Sissoko O. 8. Zabi P.	48. Ait Boudlal A. 60. Belazzoug K. (G) 45. Camara M. 22. Dia B. 12. Mayenda E. 18. Nagida M. 70. Nordin A. 21. Rongier V. 11. Tamari M.
Coaches
Rosenior L.	Haise F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
14', 1 - 0, Lopez M. ⚽, Sinayoko L. (A),
23', Frankowski P. 🟨,
29', 1 - 1, Lepaul E. (Penalty Awarded),
32', Cisse D. 🟨,
36', Thomasson A. 🟨,
36', Rouault A. 🟨,
42', Chergui S. 🟨,
45+4', 2 - 1, Lopez M. ⚽, Sinayoko L. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Thomasson A. ↓, Rongier V. ↑,
46', Blas L. ↓, Tamari M. ↑,
46', Frankowski P. ↓, Nagida M. ↑,
62', Cisse D. ↓, Camara M. ↑,
67', Kebbal I. 🟨,
70', Pagis P. ↓, Matondo R. ↑,
74', 2 - 2, Lepaul E. (Penalty Awarded),
76', 3 - 2, Sinayoko L. ⚽,
79', Traore H. ↓, Otavio ↑,
79', Kebbal I. ↓, Simon M. ↑,
79', Soumare I. ↓, Dia B. ↑,
86', Koleosho L. ↓, Mbow M. ↑,
86', Chergui S. ↓, Mbemba E. ↑,
88', 3 - 3, Lepaul E. (Penalty Awarded),
90+5', Traore H. 🟨,
90+7', 4 - 3, Sinayoko L. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 6th in the Promotion - Conference League (Qualification: ) and 4th in the Promotion - Champions League (Qualification: )).

Paris FC has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Rennes has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Paris FC could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Paris FC is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Confirmed absences for Paris FC: Ikone J. (Thigh Injury) Sangui N. (Muscle Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Paris FC: Chergui S. (Knee Injury) Marchetti V. (Inactive).

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Paris FC has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:3 (averaging 0.5:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Paris FC against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 0:1 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Rennes	8	5	1	2	18:14	4	16
6	Paris FC	8	4	2	2	13:9	4	14

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Rennes: 2.61% Paris FC: 1.67%

Last Results with these Odds

Paris FC - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 39.76%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paris FC
French Ligue 1
10.10.26	Lorient - Paris FC	1:0 ✺
19.09.26	Paris FC - Strasbourg	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Paris FC - Lyon	0:0 ✺
06.09.26	Olympique Marseille - Paris FC	2:3 ✺
30.08.26	Paris FC - Nice	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 LWTWW
- Stade Rennes
UEFA Europa League
15.10.26	Rennes - OFI	2:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
11.10.26	Rennes - Auxerre	4:1 ✺
Club Friendly
02.10.26	Laval - Rennes	1:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
19.09.26	Lyon - Rennes	4:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
16.09.26	Sturm Graz - Rennes	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
10.05.26	Rennes - Paris FC	2:1
07.11.25	Paris FC - Rennes	0:1

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