Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 12

Date: 7 November 2025, Friday

Location: Stade Jean Bouin (Paris)

Referee: Paradis G. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport Maximo 360, SuperSport Variety 4
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Austria	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 2
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 3
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Europe	Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
France	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3
Israel	5 PLUS Israel
Italy	Ligue 1+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports 2
Kenya	Gotv
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 2
Mexico	Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, FOX One, Fox Sports
Moldova	Setanta Sports 2
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Portugal	Sport TV3
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 3
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 3
South-africa	SuperSport Variety 4
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 2
Turkey	beIN Connect
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Ligue 1+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	K+, ON Plus, TV 360


	Paris FC		Rennes

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.6	3.2	Watch
	2.18	3.55	3.2
	2.23	3.66	3.26
	2.28	3.65	2.89	Watch
	2.29	3.67	3.27	Watch
	2.27	3.72	2.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.28)	3.64 ↓ (3.65)	3.13 ↑ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paris FC
43%

Draw
26.3%

Rennes
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

25.9%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

25.7%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paris FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Rennes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris FC than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rennes than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.2%	26.2%	28.6%

Paris FC - Rennes Predictions

Users Predictions: 42 users predict this event. Paris FC will win (votes: 19 - 45.2%). Rennes will win (votes: 12 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 26.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paris FC: 30.1% – 60.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Paris FC (votes: 4 - 50%). Rennes (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH 0 - Paris FC (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - draw (1.67) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

DNB - Rennes (2.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Paris FC (votes: 5 - 50%). Rennes (votes: 4 - 40%). Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Nkambadio O. (G) 31. Chergui S. 5. Mbow M. 6. Otavio 28. De Smet T. 21. Lopez M. (C) 17. Camara A. 33. Lees-Melou P. 10. Kebbal I. 11. Krasso J. 27. Simon M.	30. Samba B. (G) 97. Jacquet J. 24. Rouault A. 3. Brassier L. 26. Merlin Q. 45. Camara M. 21. Rongier V. (C) 6. Cisse D. 11. Tamari M. 9. Lepaul E. 39. Meite M.
Substitutes
13. Cafaro M. 12. Dicko N. 9. Geubbels W. 15. Kolodziejczak T. 20. Lopez J. 4. Marchetti V. 2. Ollila T. 14. Traore H. 35. Trapp K. (G)	10. Blas L. 7. Embolo B. 8. Fofana S. 95. Frankowski P. 4. Kamara G. 18. Nagida M. 71. Rosier L. 36. Seidu A. 50. Silistrie M. (G)
Coaches
Gilli S.	Beye H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', De Smet T. 🟨,
66', Meite M. ↓, Embolo B. ↑,
66', Cisse D. ↓, Blas L. ↑,
73', Krasso J. ↓, Geubbels W. ↑,
74', Camara M. 🟨,
79', Lopez M. 🟨,
80', Simon M. ↓, Cafaro M. ↑,
81', 0 - 1, Embolo B. ⚽, Rongier V. (A),
83', Lepaul E. ↓, Fofana S. ↑,
86', Lees-Melou P. ↓, Ollila T. ↑,
87', Camara A. ↓, Marchetti V. ↑,
87', De Smet T. ↓, Dicko N. ↑,
90+1', Tamari M. ↓, Frankowski P. ↑,
90+2', Rouault A. 🟨,
90+4', Otavio 🟨,
90+6', Kebbal I. 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 10).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Paris FC is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Paris FC: Ikone J. (Groin Injury) Sangui N. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Rennes: Ait Boudlal A. (Yellow Cards) Mukiele N. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Paris FC: Marchetti V. (Hamstring Injury) Traore H. (Injury)

There are questionable in Rennes: Frankowski P. (Rest)

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paris FC
French Ligue 1
01.11.25	Monaco - Paris FC	0:1 ✺
29.10.25	Paris FC - Lyon	3:3 ✺
24.10.25	Paris FC - Nantes	1:2 ✺
19.10.25	Lens - Paris FC	2:1 ✺
03.10.25	Paris FC - Lorient	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WTLLW
- Stade Rennes
French Ligue 1
02.11.25	Rennes - Strasbourg	4:1 ✺
29.10.25	Toulouse - Rennes	2:2 ✺
26.10.25	Rennes - Nice	1:2 ✺
19.10.25	Rennes - Auxerre	2:2 ✺
05.10.25	Le Havre - Rennes	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WTLTT

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