Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 8

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Roazhon Park (Rennes) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Buquet R. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	13:15	Disney+
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, TOD
Austria	17:15	DAZN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	17:15	Arena Sport 6
Canada	12:15	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
Chile	13:15	Disney+
China	00:15	Migu
Colombia	11:15	Disney+
Croatia	17:15	Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	18:15	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Denmark	17:15	Viaplay
Finland	18:15	Viaplay
France	17:15	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Germany	17:15	DAZN Deutsch
Hong Kong	00:15	beIN SPORTS MAX
Indonesia	23:15	Vidio
Italy	17:15	Ligue 1+
Japan	01:15	DAZN Japan
Mexico	10:15	FOX One
Netherlands	17:15	Viaplay
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	17:15	Viaplay
Peru	11:15	Disney+
Poland	17:15	Eleven Sports 4
Romania	18:15	Voyo
Serbia	17:15	Arena Sport 6
South Korea	01:15	Coupang Play
Spain	17:15	DAZN Espana
Sweden	17:15	Viaplay
Switzerland	17:15	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	19:15	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 MAX
Ukraine	18:15	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	16:15	Ligue 1+
Uruguay	13:15	Disney+
Usa	12:15	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Tubi TV
Venezuela	12:15	Disney+
International	16:15	OneFootball TV


	Rennes		Strasbourg

	1	X	2
	1.80	4.20	4.00	Watch
	1.83	4.00	3.90
	1.76	4.00	3.90	Watch
	1.81	4.16	4.27
	1.82	4.26	3.72	Watch
	1.79	4.05	4.25
	1.81	4.21	4.01	Watch
	1.80	4.00	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.71)	4.11 ↓ (4.31)	4 ↓ (4.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rennes
52.9%

Draw
23.2%

Strasbourg
23.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.3%

22%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.1%

21.1%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rennes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Strasbourg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rennes than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Strasbourg than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.4%	6.9%	20.7%

Rennes - Strasbourg Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Rennes will win (votes: 21 - 72.4%). Strasbourg will win (votes: 6 - 20.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 6.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rennes: 56.1% – 88.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Rennes (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Rennes (1.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Rennes (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Rennes (votes: 4 - 80%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Samba B. (G) 95. Frankowski P. 48. Ait Boudlal A. 4. Cresswell C. 24. Rouault A. 18. Nagida M. 17. Szymanski S. 21. Rongier V. (C) 45. Camara M. 22. Dia B. 11. Tamari M.	1. Jorgensen F. (C) 16. Antwi G. 4. Mitchell J. 31. Coulibaly K. 36. Oso 21. Demba P. 14. Essugo D. 80. Yassine G. 23. Sousa D. 10. Reyna G. 40. Harder C.
Substitutes
60. Belazzoug K. (G) 10. Blas L. 6. Cisse D. 12. Mayenda E. 26. Merlin Q. 5. Oliveira G. 14. Reynolds B. 90. Soumare I. 28. Thomasson A.	43. Becker Y. 35. Dieme Y. 29. El Mourabet S. 20. Godo M. 24. Hogsberg L. 26. Kellyman O. 28. Noubissie T. 30. Ortega J. 12. Piekutowski M. (G)
Coaches
Haise F.	Oliveira H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
33', Yassine G. 🟨,
34', 1 - 0, Dia B. ⚽, Frankowski P. (A),
41', 2 - 0, Szymanski S. ⚽, Nagida M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Essugo D. ↓, Dieme Y. ↑,
56', Dia B. 🟨,
61', 3 - 0, Szymanski S. ⚽, Tamari M. (A),
64', Dia B. ↓, Mayenda E. ↑,
64', Tamari M. ↓, Thomasson A. ↑,
65', Reyna G. 🟨,
70', Sousa D. ↓, El Mourabet S. ↑,
70', Harder C. ↓, Ortega J. ↑,
70', Yassine G. ↓, Godo M. ↑,
71', Nagida M. ↓, Merlin Q. ↑,
78', Camara M. ↓, Cisse D. ↑,
78', Szymanski S. ↓, Blas L. ↑,
84', Reyna G. ↓, Kellyman O. ↑,
87', Demba P. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 7th and 14th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rennes won 3.

Rennes has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Strasbourg has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Rennes may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Bookmakers give the edge to Rennes for this game.

Confirmed absences for Rennes: Lepaul E. (Ankle Injury).

Confirmed absences for Strasbourg: Balde F. (Leg Injury) Doukoure I. (Inactive) Nanasi S. (Injury) Panichelli J. (Knee Injury).

In the last 18 head-to-head meetings, Rennes has recorded 11 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 28:18 (averaging 1.6:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Rennes against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 14:7 goals (averaging 1.6:0.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Rennes	8	5	1	2	18:14	4	16
16	Strasbourg	8	2	1	5	12:18	-6	7

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Rennes: 2.61% Strasbourg: 0.53%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stade Rennes
UEFA Europa League
22.10.26	Juventus - Rennes	2:2 ✺
French Ligue 1
18.10.26	Paris FC - Rennes	4:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
15.10.26	Rennes - OFI	2:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
11.10.26	Rennes - Auxerre	4:1 ✺
Club Friendly
02.10.26	Laval - Rennes	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TLWWL
- RC Strasbourg
French Ligue 1
17.10.26	Strasbourg - Paris Saint-Germain	1:3 ✺
11.10.26	Nice - Strasbourg	2:1 ✺
19.09.26	Paris FC - Strasbourg	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Strasbourg - Monaco	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	Troyes - Strasbourg	2:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
19.04.26	Strasbourg - Rennes	0:3
02.11.25	Rennes - Strasbourg	4:1
02.02.25	Rennes - Strasbourg	1:0
25.08.24	Strasbourg - Rennes	3:1
31.03.24	Strasbourg - Rennes	2:0
29.10.23	Rennes - Strasbourg	1:1
01.02.23	Rennes - Strasbourg	3:0

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