Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 11

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Roazhon Park (Rennes)

Referee: Leonard T. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
France	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Israel	5 PLUS Israel
Italy	Ligue 1+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, FOX One, Fox Sports
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	Sport TV7
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 1x2
Slovakia	Voyo
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Ligue 1+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	K+, ON Plus, TV 360


	Rennes		Strasbourg

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.5	2.5	Watch
	2.72	3.45	2.52
	2.10	3.64	3.25	Watch
	2.77	3.58	2.67	Watch
	2.54	3.4	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.09)	3.51 ↑ (3.48)	2.74 ↓ (3.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rennes
37.5%

Draw
27.4%

Strasbourg
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

27.5%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6%

27%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rennes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rennes's form might have worsened.

Strasbourg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Strasbourg's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rennes than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rennes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Strasbourg than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Strasbourg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	10%	56.7%

Rennes - Strasbourg Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Rennes will win (votes: 10 - 33.3%). Strasbourg will win (votes: 17 - 56.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Strasbourg: 39% – 74.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Strasbourg (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Strasbourg (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Rennes (1.46) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH -0.25 - Rennes (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Strasbourg (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Rennes (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Strasbourg (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Samba B. (G) 48. Ait Boudlal A. 97. Jacquet J. 3. Brassier L. 95. Frankowski P. 45. Camara M. 21. Rongier V. (C) 6. Cisse D. 11. Tamari M. 9. Lepaul E. 39. Meite M.	39. Penders M. (G) 22. Doue G. (C) 24. Hogsberg L. 3. Chilwell B. 42. Ouattara A. 29. El Mourabet S. 32. Barco V. 7. Moreira D. 27. Amo-Ameyaw S. 19. Enciso J. 9. Panichelli J.
Substitutes
10. Blas L. 7. Embolo B. 8. Fofana S. 4. Kamara G. 26. Merlin Q. 18. Nagida M. 71. Rosier L. 24. Rouault A. 50. Silistrie M. (G)	17. Amougou M. 50. Bajic S. (G) 20. Godo M. 60. Kerckaert G. (G) 83. Luis R. 11. Nanasi S. 41. Nzingoula R. 16. Paez K. 77. Sobol E.
Coaches
Beye H.	Rosenior L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Lepaul E. ⚽, Tamari M. (A),
35', 2 - 0, Meite M. ⚽, Ait Boudlal A. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
48', 3 - 0, Lepaul E. ⚽, Meite M. (A),
52', El Mourabet S. ↓, Amougou M. ↑,
52', Amo-Ameyaw S. ↓, Nanasi S. ↑,
59', Tamari M. ↓, Merlin Q. ↑,
60', 4 - 0, Lepaul E. ⚽, Rongier V. (A),
61', Ouattara A. ↓, Nzingoula R. ↑,
68', Meite M. ↓, Embolo B. ↑,
68', Cisse D. ↓, Blas L. ↑,
77', 4 - 1, Nanasi S. ⚽, Barco V. (A),
83', Chilwell B. 🟨,
83', Enciso J. ↓, Paez K. ↑,
83', Moreira D. ↓, Godo M. ↑,
90+3', Lepaul E. ↓, Rosier L. ↑,
90+5', Frankowski P. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rennes won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Rennes: Mukiele N. (Inactive)

There will not play in Strasbourg: Doukoure I. (Red Card) Emegha E. (Hamstring Injury) Sow S. (Knee Injury) Sylla A. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Rennes: Blas L. (Coach's decision) Fofana S. (Coach's decision)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Rennes won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:17. (average 1.3:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Rennes won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 1.3:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stade Rennes
French Ligue 1
29.10.25	Toulouse - Rennes	2:2 ✺
26.10.25	Rennes - Nice	1:2 ✺
19.10.25	Rennes - Auxerre	2:2 ✺
05.10.25	Le Havre - Rennes	2:2 ✺
28.09.25	Rennes - Lens	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TLTTT
- RC Strasbourg
French Ligue 1
29.10.25	Strasbourg - Auxerre	3:0 ✺
26.10.25	Lyon - Strasbourg	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
23.10.25	Strasbourg - Jagiellonia Białystok	1:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
17.10.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Strasbourg	3:3 ✺
05.10.25	Strasbourg - Angers	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
02.02.25	Rennes - Strasbourg	1:0
25.08.24	Strasbourg - Rennes	3:1
31.03.24	Strasbourg - Rennes	2:0
29.10.23	Rennes - Strasbourg	1:1
01.02.23	Rennes - Strasbourg	3:0
01.10.22	Strasbourg - Rennes	1:3
20.04.22	Strasbourg - Rennes	2:1

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