Match Info

Date: 2 October 2022, Sunday

Location: Ishin Me-Life Stadium (Yamaguchi)

Referee: Yoshida T. (Jpn)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Renofa Yamaguchi		Grulla Morioka

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.2	3.3	Watch
	2.1	3.1	3.1
	2.15	3.35	3.2
	2.17	3.15	3.25
	2.3	3.34	3.32
	2.15	3.1	3.1
	2.17	3.34	3.32	Watch
	2.2	3.2	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.46)	3.22 ↑ (3.09)	3.24 ↑ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Renofa Yamaguchi
42.6%

Draw
28.8%

Grulla Morioka
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37%

29.5%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

29.3%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Renofa Yamaguchi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Renofa Yamaguchi's performance.

Grulla Morioka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Renofa Yamaguchi than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Renofa Yamaguchi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grulla Morioka than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Renofa Yamaguchi - Grulla Morioka Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Renofa Yamaguchi will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Grulla Morioka will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Renofa Yamaguchi: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 14 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Renofa Yamaguchi is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Grulla Morioka is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Renofa Yamaguchi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Renofa Yamaguchi will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's Renofa Yamaguchi to win the game is with odds 2.12.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Renofa Yamaguchi won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Renofa Yamaguchi
Japan J2 League
24.09.22	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Renofa Yamaguchi	1:6 ✺
18.09.22	Ryūkyū - Renofa Yamaguchi	0:1 ✺
14.09.22	Renofa Yamaguchi - Zweigen Kanazawa	1:1 ✺
10.09.22	Machida Zelvia - Renofa Yamaguchi	0:1 ✺
03.09.22	Renofa Yamaguchi - Yokohama FC	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.6 WWTWT
- Grulla Morioka
Japan J2 League
25.09.22	Grulla Morioka - Zweigen Kanazawa	1:3 ✺
20.09.22	Roasso Kumamoto - Grulla Morioka	1:0 ✺
14.09.22	Grulla Morioka - JEF United Chiba	1:2 ✺
10.09.22	Grulla Morioka - Mito HollyHock	1:0 ✺
03.09.22	Montedio Yamagata - Grulla Morioka	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
26.03.22	Grulla Morioka - Renofa Yamaguchi	0:0

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