Match Info

Date: 20 September 2022, Tuesday

Location: Egao Kenko Stadium (Kumamoto)


	Roasso Kumamoto		Grulla Morioka

	1	X	2
	1.5	4	7	Watch
	1.44	3.9	6
	1.45	4	6.75
	1.45	4	6.4
	1.5	4.25	7.3
	1.44	3.75	6.5
	1.56	3.8	6.4	Watch
	1.46	4.1	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.68)	3.98 ↑ (3.2)	6.62 ↑ (5.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roasso Kumamoto
62.7%

Draw
23.3%

Grulla Morioka
14%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.8%

28.3%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

27.5%

17.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roasso Kumamoto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Roasso Kumamoto's performance.

Grulla Morioka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roasso Kumamoto than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Roasso Kumamoto that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grulla Morioka than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	7.7%	7.7%

Roasso Kumamoto - Grulla Morioka Predictions

Users Predictions: Roasso Kumamoto will win (44 of 52 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.81% – 94.43%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Kumamoto is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Grulla Morioka is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Kumamoto is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kumamoto won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Kumamoto won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roasso Kumamoto
Japan J2 League
14.09.22	Roasso Kumamoto - Machida Zelvia	0:0 ✺
10.09.22	V-Varen Nagasaki - Roasso Kumamoto	1:3 ✺
04.09.22	Roasso Kumamoto - Omiya Ardija	1:0 ✺
28.08.22	Roasso Kumamoto - Tokyo Verdy	1:0 ✺
20.08.22	Albirex Niigata - Roasso Kumamoto	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TWWWL
- Grulla Morioka
Japan J2 League
14.09.22	Grulla Morioka - JEF United Chiba	1:2 ✺
10.09.22	Grulla Morioka - Mito HollyHock	1:0 ✺
03.09.22	Montedio Yamagata - Grulla Morioka	4:1 ✺
27.08.22	Grulla Morioka - Albirex Niigata	0:2 ✺
20.08.22	Oita Trinita - Grulla Morioka	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
01.05.22	Grulla Morioka - Roasso Kumamoto	1:2
Japan J3 League
07.11.21	Grulla Morioka - Roasso Kumamoto	0:0
11.07.21	Roasso Kumamoto - Grulla Morioka	1:1
04.12.20	Grulla Morioka - Roasso Kumamoto	2:2
22.08.20	Roasso Kumamoto - Grulla Morioka	3:1

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