Match Info

JAPAN: J2 LEAGUE - ROUND 16

Date: 17 May 2023, Wednesday

Location: Machida GION Stadium (Machida)


	Machida Zelvia		Renofa Yamaguchi

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.8	7	Watch
	1.46	3.7	6.5
	1.45	4	7.5
	1.51	4.11	7.74
	1.44	3.6	7
	1.48	4.15	7.1	Watch
	1.47	3.9	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.58)	3.89 ↑ (3.65)	7.09 ↑ (5.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Machida Zelvia
63.1%

Draw
23.8%

Renofa Yamaguchi
13.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

24.9%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.9%

23.9%

16.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Machida Zelvia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Machida Zelvia's performance.

Renofa Yamaguchi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Renofa Yamaguchi than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.6%	8.7%	8.7%

Machida Zelvia - Renofa Yamaguchi Predictions

Users Predictions: Machida Zelvia will win (19 of 23 users predict this - 82.61%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.12% – 98.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League and 18).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Machida Zelvia won 2.

Machida Zelvia is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Renofa Yamaguchi is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Machida Zelvia is a favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Machida Zelvia won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 13-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Machida Zelvia won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 5-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Machida Zelvia
Japan J2 League
13.05.23	Tokyo Verdy - Machida Zelvia	0:1 ✺
07.05.23	Machida Zelvia - Fagiano Okayama	1:1 ✺
03.05.23	Omiya Ardija - Machida Zelvia	0:1 ✺
29.04.23	Machida Zelvia - Roasso Kumamoto	2:1 ✺
22.04.23	Ventforet Kofu - Machida Zelvia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WTWWL
- Renofa Yamaguchi
Japan J2 League
13.05.23	Renofa Yamaguchi - Tokushima Vortis	2:2 ✺
07.05.23	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Renofa Yamaguchi	2:1 ✺
03.05.23	Renofa Yamaguchi - JEF United Chiba	1:1 ✺
29.04.23	Montedio Yamagata - Renofa Yamaguchi	1:1 ✺
22.04.23	Fagiano Okayama - Renofa Yamaguchi	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 46.8 TLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
10.09.22	Machida Zelvia - Renofa Yamaguchi	0:1
04.05.22	Renofa Yamaguchi - Machida Zelvia	3:1
11.09.21	Renofa Yamaguchi - Machida Zelvia	0:1
02.05.21	Machida Zelvia - Renofa Yamaguchi	0:2
11.11.20	Machida Zelvia - Renofa Yamaguchi	1:0
22.08.20	Renofa Yamaguchi - Machida Zelvia	0:2
10.11.19	Machida Zelvia - Renofa Yamaguchi	1:0

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