Match Info

YBC Levain Cup - First stage - 1/32-finals

Date: 9 April 2025, Wednesday

Location: Ishin Me-Life Stadium (Yamaguchi)


	Renofa Yamaguchi		Kashima Antlers

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.6	1.7	Watch
	4.5	3.5	1.65
	5	3.7	1.68	Watch
	4.98	3.8	1.66	Watch
	4.8	3.4	1.67
	5.11	3.68	1.69	Watch
	5	3.7	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.88 ↑ (4.73)	3.63 ↑ (3.62)	1.68 ↓ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Renofa Yamaguchi
19%

Draw
25.6%

Kashima Antlers
55.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.8%

25.9%

54.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.3%

25.3%

55.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Renofa Yamaguchi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Kashima Antlers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Renofa Yamaguchi than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kashima Antlers than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	33.3%	66.7%

Renofa Yamaguchi - Kashima Antlers Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Kashima will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Renofa Yamaguchi (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Renofa Yamaguchi (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Taguchi J. (G) 49. Mineda Y. 14. Shimodo R. 76. Isotani S. 27. Ozawa R. 11. Yokoyama R. 6. Kim Byeom-Yong 10. Ikegami J. 19. Yamamoto S. 30. Okuyama Y. 9. Arita R.	29. Kajikawa Y. (G) 22. Nono K. 23. Tsukui K. 3. Kim Tae-Hyeon 36. Sato M. 6. Misao K. 20. Funabashi Y. 19. Morooka S. 71. Araki R. 77. Cavric A. 11. Tagawa K.
Substitutes
34. Furukawa D. 15. Itakura T. 33. Kimura Y. 1. Marsman N. (G) 40. Naruoka H. 8. Noyori K. 38. Suenaga T. 17. Tanabe K. 45. Yamamoto O.	2. Anzai K. 1. Hayakawa T. (G) 14. Higuchi Y. 25. Koike R. 9. Leo Ceara 27. Matsumura Y. 10. Shibasaki G. 40. Suzuki Y. 55. Ueda N.
Coaches
Shigaki R.	Oniki T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
63', Tsukui K. 🟨,
63', Tagawa K. ↓, Suzuki Y. ↑,
64', 1 - 0, Ozawa R. ⚽,
68', Arita R. ↓, Furukawa D. ↑,
69', Funabashi Y. ↓, Shibasaki G. ↑,
69', Araki R. ↓, Leo Ceara ↑,
72', Ikegami J. ↓, Tanabe K. ↑,
76', Tsukui K. ↓, Ueda N. ↑,
76', Sato M. ↓, Anzai K. ↑,
77', Furukawa D. 🟨,
80', Yamamoto S. ↓, Yamamoto O. ↑,
80', Yokoyama R. ↓, Noyori K. ↑,
81', Mineda Y. ↓, Itakura T. ↑,
81', 1 - 1, Morooka S. ⚽,
Extra Time (0 - 0)
91', Kim Byeom-Yong ↓, Naruoka H. ↑,
94', Morooka S. ↓, Koike R. ↑,
97', Okuyama Y. 🟨,
100', Leo Ceara 🟨,
Penalties (5 - 3)
1, Furukawa D. (Pen),
1, Leo Ceara (Pen),
2, Yamamoto O. (Pen),
2, Shibasaki G. (Pen),
3, Naruoka H. (Pen),
3, Sato M. (Pen),
4, Noyori K. (Pen),
4, Koike R. (Pen),
5, Tanabe K. (Pen),

Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Renofa Yamaguchi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Kashima is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Renofa Yamaguchi
Japan J2 League
05.04.25	Renofa Yamaguchi - Ehime	1:1 ✺
30.03.25	Blaublitz Akita - Renofa Yamaguchi	1:0 ✺
Japan J League Cup
26.03.25	Oita Trinita - Renofa Yamaguchi	2:3 ✺
Japan J2 League
23.03.25	Renofa Yamaguchi - Roasso Kumamoto	0:1 ✺
16.03.25	Renofa Yamaguchi - Oita Trinita	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TLWLT
- Kashima Antlers
Japan J1 League
06.04.25	Kashima Antlers - Kyoto Sanga	3:4 ✺
02.04.25	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Kashima Antlers	1:0 ✺
29.03.25	Kashima Antlers - Vissel Kobe	1:0 ✺
Japan J League Cup
20.03.25	Tochigi City - Kashima Antlers	0:1 ✺
Japan J1 League
16.03.25	Kashima Antlers - Urawa Red Diamonds	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLWWT

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