Match Info

J2 League - Round 25

Date: 11 August 2025, Monday

Location: Ishin Me-Life Stadium (Yamaguchi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Renofa Yamaguchi		Ventforet Kofu

	1	X	2
	2.7	2.9	2.8	Watch
	2.35	2.7	3
	2.52	2.92	2.82	Watch
	2.76	3.04	2.91
	2.75	2.92	2.75	Watch
	2.4	2.8	3
	2.6	2.88	2.79	Watch
	2.48	2.92	2.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.56)	2.89 ↑ (2.89)	2.87 ↓ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Renofa Yamaguchi
35.9%

Draw
32%

Ventforet Kofu
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

32.3%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

31.7%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Renofa Yamaguchi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Ventforet Kofu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Renofa Yamaguchi than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ventforet Kofu than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.1%	42.9%	50%

Renofa Yamaguchi - Ventforet Kofu Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Renofa Yamaguchi will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). Kofu will win (votes: 7 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 42.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kofu: 23.8% – 76.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kofu (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Marsman N. (G) 5. Yoshioka K. 14. Shimodo R. 76. Isotani S. 29. Wakasa Y. 49. Mineda Y. 8. Noyori K. 20. Kawano K. 55. Okaniwa S. 31. Kusano Y. 45. Yamamoto O.	1. Kawata K. (G) 17. Tsuchiya T. 3. Son T. 40. Edu Mancha 13. Murakami Y. 16. Hayashida K. 14. Tanaka Y. 7. Araki S. 10. Torikai Y. 77. Matheus Leiria 44. Naito Y.
Substitutes
98. Firmino A. 34. Furukawa D. 6. Kim Byeom-Yong 28. Kobayashi S. 7. Misawa N. 13. Miyayoshi T. 40. Naruoka H. 30. Okuyama Y. 26. Taguchi J. (G)	20. Endo H. 2. Inoue M. 30. Ishikawa K. (G) 6. Kobayashi I. 9. Mitsuhira K. 49. Neemias 29. Oshima K. 21. Renato Augusto 24. Sato K.
Coaches
Nakayama G.	Otsuka S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
40', 0 - 1, Naito Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', Kawano K. ↓, Firmino A. ↑,
63', Kusano Y. ↓, Furukawa D. ↑,
63', Noyori K. ↓, Naruoka H. ↑,
65', Murakami Y. ↓, Sato K. ↑,
69', Mineda Y. ↓, Okuyama Y. ↑,
73', Naito Y. ↓, Neemias ↑,
73', Torikai Y. ↓, Oshima K. ↑,
81', Okaniwa S. ↓, Kobayashi S. ↑,
84', Araki S. ↓, Renato Augusto ↑,
84', Tanaka Y. ↓, Endo H. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J3 League and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Renofa Yamaguchi won 3.

Renofa Yamaguchi is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Kofu has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Renofa Yamaguchi won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 17:22. (average 1.1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Renofa Yamaguchi won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1.3:1.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Renofa Yamaguchi - the odds 2.56 are the expected chance of winning is 36.43%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Renofa Yamaguchi
Japan J2 League
02.08.25	Fujieda MYFC - Renofa Yamaguchi	2:2 ✺
12.07.25	Renofa Yamaguchi - Tokushima Vortis	0:0 ✺
05.07.25	Consadole Sapporo - Renofa Yamaguchi	1:0 ✺
28.06.25	Renofa Yamaguchi - Blaublitz Akita	1:1 ✺
21.06.25	Ehime - Renofa Yamaguchi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TTLTL
- Ventforet Kofu
Japan J2 League
02.08.25	Ventforet Kofu - Montedio Yamagata	1:3 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
16.07.25	Vissel Kobe - Ventforet Kofu	2:1 ET ✺
Japan J2 League
12.07.25	Ventforet Kofu - Omiya Ardija	1:0 ✺
05.07.25	Imabari - Ventforet Kofu	2:4 ✺
28.06.25	Ventforet Kofu - Ehime	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
15.02.25	Ventforet Kofu - Renofa Yamaguchi	1:0
27.10.24	Renofa Yamaguchi - Ventforet Kofu	2:0
30.03.24	Ventforet Kofu - Renofa Yamaguchi	0:2
26.08.23	Renofa Yamaguchi - Ventforet Kofu	3:2
11.06.23	Ventforet Kofu - Renofa Yamaguchi	4:0
26.06.22	Renofa Yamaguchi - Ventforet Kofu	2:1
14.05.22	Ventforet Kofu - Renofa Yamaguchi	1:1

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