Match Info

J2 League - Round 24

Date: 2 August 2025, Saturday

Location: JIT Recycle Ink Stadium (Kofu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Ventforet Kofu		Montedio Yamagata

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.25	2.75	Watch
	2.35	3	2.75
	2.28	3.1	3	Watch
	2.44	3.23	3.14
	2.58	3.23	2.68	Watch
	2.4	2.9	2.9
	2.43	3.29	2.83	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (2.22)	3.14 ↓ (3.22)	2.86 ↓ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ventforet Kofu
38.4%

Draw
29.4%

Montedio Yamagata
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

28.8%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

28%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ventforet Kofu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Montedio Yamagata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ventforet Kofu than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montedio Yamagata than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	5.6%	16.7%

Ventforet Kofu - Montedio Yamagata Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Kofu will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%). Montedio Yamagata will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kofu: 58.6% – 97%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ventforet Kofu will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kawata K. (G) 17. Tsuchiya T. 3. Son T. 40. Edu Mancha 24. Sato K. 16. Hayashida K. 48. Val Soares 6. Kobayashi I. 10. Torikai Y. 14. Tanaka Y. 77. Matheus Leiria	1. Heward-Belle T. (G) 15. Kawai A. 22. Shirowa H. 5. Abe T. 13. Nodake H. 71. Nakamura R. 21. Tanaka W. 88. Doi S. 10. Kida R. 90. Disaro A. S. 25. Kokubu S.
Substitutes
7. Araki S. 20. Endo H. 97. Higashi J. (G) 2. Inoue M. 11. Kumakura K. 27. Mikael Doka 13. Murakami Y. 29. Oshima K. 26. Sato K.	27. Enomoto K. 55. Horikane S. 3. Kumamoto Y. 19. Okamoto K. 14. Sakamoto K. 45. Shibuya T. (G) 9. Takahashi J. 17. Terayama T. 2. Yoshida T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
10', 0 - 1, Kida R. ⚽, Nodake H. (A),
15', 0 - 2, Doi S. ⚽, Kokubu S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Sato K. ↓, Mikael Doka ↑,
46', Val Soares ↓, Oshima K. ↑,
54', 1 - 2, Torikai Y. ⚽, Matheus Leiria (A),
67', Kobayashi I. ↓, Araki S. ↑,
68', Disaro A. S. ↓, Horikane S. ↑,
68', Kokubu S. ↓, Sakamoto K. ↑,
72', 1 - 3, Kawai A. ⚽, Kida R. (A),
78', Tanaka W. ↓, Terayama T. ↑,
78', Doi S. ↓, Takahashi J. ↑,
82', Tsuchiya T. ↓, Kumakura K. ↑,
82', Edu Mancha ↓, Murakami Y. ↑,
87', Horikane S. 🟨,
89', Takahashi J. 🟨,
90', Kida R. ↓, Kumamoto Y. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 16).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kofu won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Kofu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Kofu won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:17. (average 1.4:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Kofu won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.3:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ventforet Kofu
Japan Emperors Cup
16.07.25	Vissel Kobe - Ventforet Kofu	2:1 ET ✺
Japan J2 League
12.07.25	Ventforet Kofu - Omiya Ardija	1:0 ✺
05.07.25	Imabari - Ventforet Kofu	2:4 ✺
28.06.25	Ventforet Kofu - Ehime	0:0 ✺
22.06.25	Vegalta Sendai - Ventforet Kofu	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 LWWTT
- Montedio Yamagata
Club Friendly
27.07.25	Montedio Yamagata - Reims	1:0 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
16.07.25	Gamba Osaka - Montedio Yamagata	4:5 penalties ✺
Japan J2 League
12.07.25	Montedio Yamagata - JEF United Chiba	0:1 ✺
06.07.25	Ehime - Montedio Yamagata	1:3 ✺
28.06.25	Montedio Yamagata - V-Varen Nagasaki	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.6 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
25.05.25	Montedio Yamagata - Ventforet Kofu	0:4
28.09.24	Ventforet Kofu - Montedio Yamagata	1:2
16.03.24	Montedio Yamagata - Ventforet Kofu	0:1
11.11.23	Montedio Yamagata - Ventforet Kofu	2:1
17.02.23	Ventforet Kofu - Montedio Yamagata	1:2
18.06.22	Montedio Yamagata - Ventforet Kofu	0:1
12.03.22	Ventforet Kofu - Montedio Yamagata	1:1

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