The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Renofa Yamaguchi 24.2%
Draw 31.6%
Tokushima Vortis 44.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25.8%
31.6%
42.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.6%
31.3%
43%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Renofa Yamaguchi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
Tokushima Vortis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Renofa Yamaguchi than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokushima Vortis than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
8.3%
41.7%
50%
Renofa Yamaguchi - Tokushima Vortis Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Renofa Yamaguchi will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Tokushima will win (votes: 6 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Tokushima: 21.7% โ 78.3%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
26. Taguchi J. (G) 5. Yoshioka K. 14. Shimodo R. 76. Isotani S. 29. Wakasa Y. 55. Okaniwa S. 8. Noyori K. 45. Yamamoto O. 18. Kamekawa M. 31. Kusano Y. 34. Furukawa D.
1. Tanaka H. (G) 15. Yamakoshi K. 3. Yamada N. 5. Aoki H. 18. Elsinho 7. Kodama S. 28. Kanuma N. 42. Takagi Y. 10. Sugimoto T. 99. Lucas Barcelos 16. Watari D.
Substitutes
21. Choi Hyung-Chan (G) 28. Kobayashi S. 4. Matsuda K. 7. Misawa N. 40. Naruoka H. 27. Ozawa R. 38. Suenaga T. 17. Tanabe K. 19. Yamamoto S.
14. Hyon R. 4. Kaique 21. Nagai K. (G) 40. Nagaki R. 13. Nishino T. 24. Takada S. 9. Thonny Anderson 30. Tsuboi K. 22. Yanagisawa K.
Coaches
Nakayama G.
Masuda K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Kusano Y. (Pen),
41', Yamakoshi K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Kusano Y. ↓, Tanabe K. ↑,
65', Elsinho ↓, Yanagisawa K. ↑,
65', Watari D. ↓, Tsuboi K. ↑,
65', Takagi Y. ↓, Takada S. ↑,
70', Furukawa D. ↓, Yamamoto S. ↑,
70', Noyori K. ↓, Kobayashi S. ↑,
79', Lucas Barcelos ↓, Thonny Anderson ↑,
84', Yamamoto O. 🟨,
85', Yamamoto O. ↓, Misawa N. ↑,
85', Kamekawa M. ↓, Ozawa R. ↑,
86', Sugimoto T. ↓, Hyon R. ↑,
88', Shimodo R. 🟥,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J3 League and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Renofa Yamaguchi won 1.
Renofa Yamaguchi is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Tokushima's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Recently, Tokushima has had a series of home games.
Tokushima is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Renofa Yamaguchi won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 16:36. (average 0.9:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Renofa Yamaguchi won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 1.1:1.6).
Last Results with these Odds
Renofa Yamaguchi - the odds 3.67 are the expected chance of winning is 25.8%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.