Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - ROUND 14

Date: 15 January 2023, Sunday


	Guarda Desportiva		Alpendorada

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.3	1.66
	4.5	3.4	1.63
	4.6	3.45	1.66
	4.56	3.41	1.79
	4.5	3.4	1.72
	4.7	3.55	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.56 ↑ (3.82)	3.42 ↑ (3.4)	1.69 ↓ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guarda Desportiva
19.9%

Draw
26.5%

Alpendorada
53.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.7%

26.6%

49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8%

21.2%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guarda Desportiva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Alpendorada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarda Desportiva than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guarda Desportiva, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alpendorada than the current prediction. (-14.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alpendorada, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Guarda Desportiva - Alpendorada Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 10 in the zone Relegation).

Guarda Desportiva has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Alpendorada is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Alpendorada will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guarda Desportiva
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
08.01.23	Guarda Desportiva - Valadares Gaia	0:3 ✺
18.12.22	Camacha - Guarda Desportiva	4:1 ✺
11.12.22	Guarda Desportiva - Machico	2:3 ✺
04.12.22	Leça - Guarda Desportiva	2:0 ✺
27.11.22	Guarda Desportiva - Castro Daire	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- FC Alpendorada
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
08.01.23	Lusitânia - Alpendorada	2:1 ✺
18.12.22	Alpendorada - Gondomar	0:1 ✺
11.12.22	Salgueiros 08 - Alpendorada	5:4 ✺
04.12.22	Alpendorada - Rebordosa	0:3 ✺
27.11.22	Resende - Alpendorada	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLLLW

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