Match Info

Pernambucano - Round 4

Date: 22 January 2026, Thursday

Location: Arena Pernambuco (São Lourenço da Mata)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Canal GOAT


	Jaguar		Náutico Capibaribe

	1	X	2
	6.5	4	1.4
	6.5	4.05	1.44
	6.5	4.34	1.41	Watch
	5.75	3.75	1.44
	5.97	4.25	1.48
	6.66	4.2	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.31 ↑ (6.26)	4.1 ↑ (3.74)	1.44 ↓ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jaguar
14.5%

Draw
22.3%

Náutico Capibaribe
63.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.6%

24.4%

61%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jaguar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Náutico Capibaribe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Jaguar - Náutico Capibaribe Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Jaguar (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Igor (G) 5. Anderson Sao Joao 18. Edson Silva 13. Gil Mineiro (C) 16. Guilherme 14. Jackson 26. Jefferson Recife 23. Leo Mago 6. Nilson 15. Paulo Miranda 8. Ruan Pablo	55. Guruceaga G. (G) 5. Auremir 10. Dodo 98. Felipe Saraiva 23. Igor Fernandes 13. Indio 17. Jonas Toro 93. Reginaldo 34. Samuel Otusanya 43. Wanderson 8. Wenderson
Substitutes
3. Cruz R. 4. David Farias 11. Erik 21. Gabriel Dinamite 12. Juca (G) 10. Lele 22. Medina 2. Oliveira F. 27. Ricardinho 9. Wallace	2. Arnaldo 21. Felipe Redaelli 29. Junior Todinho 15. Kayon 27. Luiz Felipe 1. Muriel Becker (G) 40. Ramon . Rosa G. 7. Vinicius 6. Yuri

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
11', 0 - 1, Reginaldo ⚽,
13', Jackson 🟨,
15', 0 - 2, Dodo ⚽,
21', 0 - 3, Felipe Saraiva ⚽,
27', Jackson ↓, Cruz R. ↑,
31', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Dodo ↓, Felipe Redaelli ↑,
46', Igor Fernandes ↓, Yuri ↑,
46', Anderson Sao Joao ↓, Vitinho ↑,
46', Jefferson Recife ↓, Medina ↑,
58', Felipe Saraiva ↓, Kayon ↑,
58', Wenderson ↓, Ramon ↑,
62', Reginaldo ↓, Luiz Felipe ↑,
64', Ramon 🟨,
65', Guilherme ↓, Gabriel Dinamite ↑,
76', Ruan Pablo ↓, Lele ↑,
80', Gabriel Dinamite 🟨,
84', Ramon 🟨,
90+1', 0 - 4, ⚽,
90+2', 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Pernambucano (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In this match, Náutico is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Jaguar won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Jaguar
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
17.01.26	Decisão - Jaguar	2:0 ✺
13.01.26	Vitória das Tabocas - Jaguar	1:1 ✺
10.01.26	Jaguar - Sport Recife	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
30.12.25	Serra Branca - Jaguar	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
22.02.25	Jaguar - Afogados da Ingazeira	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LTTTW
- Náutico Capibaribe
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
18.01.26	Náutico Capibaribe - Sport Recife	4:0 ✺
14.01.26	Decisão - Náutico Capibaribe	1:2 ✺
09.01.26	Náutico Capibaribe - Maguary	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
11.10.25	Náutico Capibaribe - Brusque	2:1 ✺
04.10.25	Guarani - Náutico Capibaribe	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
15.01.25	Náutico Capibaribe - Jaguar	3:2

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