Match Info

USA: USL Championship

Date: 21 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Beirne Stadium (Pawtucket, RI)

Referee: Kilpatrick A. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	CBS, Paramount+
World	Disney+


	Rhode Island		Tulsa

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.39	4.33	6.25
	1.42	4.33	7
	1.43	4.4	7.65
	1.48	3.98	7.13	Watch
	1.42	4.35	6.93	Watch
	1.45	4.1	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.53)	4.25 ↑ (3.92)	6.83 ↑ (5.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

Watch this match and USL Championship with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: NESN Plus

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Current Win Probability

Rhode Island
64.7%

Draw
21.8%

Tulsa
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.6%

23.6%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.3%

22.3%

16.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rhode Island has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Tulsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rhode Island than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rhode Island that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tulsa than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Rhode Island - Tulsa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Koke Vegas (C) 5. Stoneman G. 24. Yao K. 15. Nodarse F. 12. Holstad C. 20. Herivaux Z. 23. Ybarra M. 17. Kwizera J. 8. Panayotou J. 11. Fuson N. 9. Williams J.	99. Penaranda J. (G) 31. Damm O. 3. Souahy A. 22. Bourgeois B. (C) 20. Seagrist P. 19. Stojanovic S. 7. Booth A. 17. Laszo E. 11. Yousef M. 77. Bettache F. 29. Bibout A.
Substitutes
18. Brito J. 10. Dikwa A. 14. Doyle M. 22. Lee J. (G) 77. Shapiro-Thompson A. 3. Turnbull S. 21. Twumasi K.	10. Bell M. 1. Creek M. (G) 6. Diallo B. 70. Pacheco D. 4. Rogers A. 63. Sanchez S. 12. Tetteh R.
Coaches
Smith K.	Sanchez M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Bibout A. ⚽, Bettache F. (A),
14', Yao K. 🟨,
22', Laszo E. ↓, Diallo B. ↑,
31', Herivaux Z. 🟨,
45+4', Diallo B. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
59', Penaranda J. 🟨,
64', Fuson N. 🟨,
65', Ybarra M. ↓, Turnbull S. ↑,
65', Panayotou J. ↓, Dikwa A. ↑,
65', Damm O. ↓, Rogers A. ↑,
65', Stojanovic S. ↓, Bell M. ↑,
66', Diallo B. ↓, Sanchez S. ↑,
71', 1 - 1, Fuson N. ⚽, Kwizera J. (A),
76', Williams J. ↓, Doyle M. ↑,
83', Stoneman G. ↓, Brito J. ↑,
88', Bettache F. ↓, Tetteh R. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 1, Dikwa A. ⚽, Herivaux Z. (A),

Preview

Recent matches Rhode Island is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Tulsa is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Rhode Island is indisputable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rhode Island FC
USL Championship
14.09.24	Orange County SC - Rhode Island	1:0 ✺
07.09.24	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Rhode Island	2:0 ✺
31.08.24	Rhode Island - Birmingham Legion	2:0 ✺
24.08.24	Loudoun United - Rhode Island	0:0 ✺
17.08.24	Rhode Island - Oakland Roots	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLWTT
- FC Tulsa
USL Championship
14.09.24	Tulsa - Louisville City	0:1 ✺
11.09.24	Tulsa - Las Vegas Lights	1:1 ✺
06.09.24	Phoenix Rising - Tulsa	1:0 ✺
01.09.24	Tulsa - Colorado Springs Switchbacks	1:4 ✺
24.08.24	Detroit City - Tulsa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LTLLW

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