Match Info

Cymru North - Round 16

Date: 5 December 2025, Friday

Location: Belle Vue (Rhyl)


	Rhyl		Holywell Town

	1	X	2
	3.55	3.9	1.72
	3.37	4.13	1.83
	3.43	4.46	1.81	Watch
	3.6	3.6	1.75
	3.81	3.84	1.73
	3.25	4	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.5 ↓ (6.52)	3.99 ↓ (4.94)	1.78 ↑ (1.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rhyl
26%

Draw
22.8%

Holywell Town
51.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.3%

18.8%

66.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.7%

18%

69.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rhyl has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rhyl's performance.

Holywell Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Holywell Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rhyl than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rhyl that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Holywell Town than the current prediction. (+18.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Holywell Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Rhyl - Holywell Town Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 - Rhyl (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Rhyl (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 1)
56', 0 - 1, Breese J. ⚽,
58', 1 - 1, Jones A. ⚽,
66', 2 - 1, Parry J. ⚽,
71', 3 - 1, Parry J. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Holywell Town is seen as the favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Rhyl won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Rhyl won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CPD Y Rhyl 1879
Welsh Cymru North
29.11.25	Gresford Athletic - Rhyl	2:2 ✺
08.11.25	Rhyl - Flint Mountain	2:3 ✺
01.11.25	Rhyl - Penrhyncoch	3:1 ✺
24.10.25	Airbus UK Broughton - Rhyl	6:0 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
18.10.25	Rhyl - Brickfield Rangers	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TLWLW
- Holywell Town
Welsh Cymru North
28.11.25	Holywell Town - Llandudno	1:1 ✺
15.11.25	Newtown - Holywell Town	2:2 ✺
08.11.25	Holywell Town - Buckley Town	0:1 ✺
01.11.25	Holywell Town - Brickfield Rangers	6:0 ✺
25.10.25	Mold Alexandra - Holywell Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru North
26.09.25	Holywell Town - Rhyl	1:1
Welsh Cymru Alliance
01.03.19	Rhyl - Holywell Town	1:0
12.10.18	Holywell Town - Rhyl	2:3
30.12.17	Rhyl - Holywell Town	3:1

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