Match Info

Cymru North - Round 14

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Latham Park (Newtown)


	Newtown		Holywell Town

	1	X	2
	2.58	3.55	2.25
	2.67	3.65	2.27
	2.41	3.81	2.50	Watch
	2.6	3.5	2.26
	2.4	3.8	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.4)	3.66 ↓ (3.8)	2.37 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newtown
36.2%

Draw
25%

Holywell Town
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

24.5%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

24.6%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newtown has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Holywell Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newtown than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holywell Town than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Newtown - Holywell Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 2)
52', 1 - 0, Jacobs L. ⚽,
59', 1 - 1, Harries J. ⚽,
76', 2 - 1, Hyne J. ⚽,
90+5', 2 - 2, Sullivan D. ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier).

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Newtown won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Including home match between the teams, Newtown won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newtown AFC
Welsh Cymru North
08.11.25	Mold Alexandra - Newtown	1:3 ✺
Welsh League Cup
04.11.25	Newtown - Llandudno	3:6 ✺
Welsh Cymru North
31.10.25	Gresford Athletic - Newtown	1:2 ✺
25.10.25	Newtown - Holyhead Hotspur	1:0 ✺
10.10.25	Newtown - Brickfield Rangers	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLWWW
- Holywell Town
Welsh Cymru North
08.11.25	Holywell Town - Buckley Town	0:1 ✺
01.11.25	Holywell Town - Brickfield Rangers	6:0 ✺
25.10.25	Mold Alexandra - Holywell Town	1:2 ✺
11.10.25	Holywell Town - Penrhyncoch	4:1 ✺
03.10.25	Airbus UK Broughton - Holywell Town	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Welsh League Cup
03.10.17	Newtown - Holywell Town	2:0

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