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Current Win Probability
Richmond Kickers 37.3%
Draw 26%
Corpus Christi 36.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
30.9%
26.2%
42.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.2%
25.1%
41.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Richmond Kickers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Richmond Kickers's performance.
Corpus Christi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Corpus Christi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Richmond Kickers than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Richmond Kickers that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corpus Christi than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
Richmond Kickers - Corpus Christi Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Fillion Y. (G) 2. Barnathan D. 4. Layton S. 44. Gallegos A. 32. Bolduc M. 10. Seufert N. (C) 6. Sasankhah A. 45. Hanson H. 11. Pannholzer T. 70. Lucca Dourado 14. Vazquez Z.
24. McCready M. (G) 7. Thomas K. T. 4. Keaney J. 5. Roscoe S. 22. Gomez S. 27. Pondeca T. 6. Langlois P. (C) 26. Medina A. 2. Bowen B. 19. Barganski K. 12. Keegan J.
Substitutes
18. Amer A. 3. Anderson H. 43. Codjoe G. 23. Freeman T. 34. Howell B. 7. Johnson L. 99. Moore D. 26. Murana M. 12. O'Malley O. 35. Sneddon J. (G) 22. Vinberg S.
21. Abeal I. 18. Bachstein D. 15. Parks J. 17. Shalita M. 14. Vasic P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Keegan J. ⚽, Bowen B. (A),
45+4', Keaney J. 🟨,
45+5', 1 - 1, Pannholzer T. (Penalty Awarded),
45+6', Zayed E. 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
46', Vazquez Z. ↓, O'Malley O. ↑,
51', 2 - 1, Lucca Dourado ⚽,
52', 3 - 1, Pannholzer T. ⚽, Seufert N. (A),
61', 4 - 1, Pannholzer T. ⚽,
63', Lucca Dourado ↓, Freeman T. ↑,
69', Thomas K. T. ↓, Bachstein D. ↑,
69', Gomez S. ↓, Shalita M. ↑,
69', Barganski K. ↓, Vasic P. ↑,
74', 5 - 1, O'Malley O. ⚽, Barnathan D. (A),
75', Barnathan D. ↓, Vinberg S. ↑,
75', Sasankhah A. ↓, Amer A. ↑,
79', O'Malley O. 🟨,
84', Keaney J. ↓, Abeal I. ↑,
86', Hanson H. ↓, Anderson H. ↑,
Preview
A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 17th and 12th).
Recent results have been tough for Richmond Kickers (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Corpus Christi have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Richmond Kickers has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:1.
Standings
Main
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
12
Corpus Christi FC
32
9
10
13
36:51
-15
37
17
Richmond Kickers
32
7
5
20
37:65
-28
26
Last Results with these Odds
Richmond Kickers - the odds 2.88 are the expected chance of winning is 30.94%, but this team recently wins 8% of matches with these odds.