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Current Win Probability
New York Cosmos 58.1%
Draw 22.9%
Richmond Kickers 19%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.3%
24.2%
25.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.2%
20.8%
29.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New York Cosmos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in New York Cosmos's performance.
Richmond Kickers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Richmond Kickers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Cosmos than the current prediction. (-14.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with New York Cosmos that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Richmond Kickers than the current prediction. (+10.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Richmond Kickers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
New York Cosmos - Richmond Kickers Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
26. Garcia J. (G) 28. Milovanov J. 4. Chilaka M. 6. Holt A. 5. Cabrera N. 18. Koffi C. 15. Ramos O. 19. Jawneh L. 8. Spengler A. 7. Ljucovic F. 13. Guenzatti S.
1. Fillion Y. (G) 2. Barnathan D. 4. Layton S. 22. Vinberg S. 32. Bolduc M. 45. Hanson H. 12. O'Malley O. 10. Seufert N. 6. Sasankhah A. 11. Pannholzer T. 14. Vazquez Z.
Substitutes
3. Acosta S. 1. Chan D. (G) 25. Chavez J. 17. Galazzini D. 20. Mendonca N. 2. Morabito M. 14. Puentes A. 11. Zielonka N.
18. Amer A. 3. Anderson H. 23. Freeman T. 34. Howell B. 7. Johnson L. 70. Lucca Dourado 35. Sneddon J. (G)
Coaches
Corti D.
Ownby B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
15', 1 - 0, Spengler A. ⚽,
18', O'Malley O. 🟨,
21', 2 - 0, Jawneh L. ⚽, Koffi C. (A),
27', O'Malley O. ↓, Freeman T. ↑,
32', 2 - 1, Vazquez Z. ⚽, Fillion Y. (A),
41', Layton S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
60', Jawneh L. 🟨,
62', Chilaka M. 🟨,
62', Vinberg S. 🟨,
66', 2 - 2, Vinberg S. ⚽, Sasankhah A. (A),
66', Vazquez Z. ↓, Lucca Dourado ↑,
74', Ramos O. 🟨,
75', Ramos O. ↓, Mendonca N. ↑,
81', Cabrera N. ↓, Acosta S. ↑,
82', Bolduc M. ↓, Anderson H. ↑,
82', Pannholzer T. ↓, Johnson L. ↑,
83', Seufert N. ↓, Amer A. ↑,
89', Hanson H. 🟨,
90+5', 3 - 2, Spengler A. (Penalty Awarded),
90+8', Spengler A. 🟨,
Preview
A high-tension relegation six-pointer between two sides desperate to escape the danger zone (ranked 16th and 17th).
New York Cosmos is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Richmond Kickers is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
New York Cosmos could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Bookmakers give the edge to New York Cosmos for this game.
In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, New York Cosmos has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:2.
Brazil
North-central-america
Usa
Watch
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Garcia J. (G) 
Chilaka M. 
Cabrera N. 
Koffi C. 
Jawneh L. 
Guenzatti S. 
Fillion Y. (G) 
Layton S. 
Seufert N. 
Acosta S. 
Chan D. (G) 
Galazzini D. 
Lucca Dourado 
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