Match Info

USL League One

Date: 7 October 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Paradise Coast Sports Complex (Naples, FL) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	20:00	Disney+
Brazil	20:00	Disney+
Chile	20:00	Disney+
Colombia	18:00	Disney+
Mexico	17:00	Disney+
Peru	18:00	Disney+
Uruguay	20:00	Disney+
Usa	19:00	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	19:00	Disney+


	Naples		Richmond Kickers

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.49	4.20	5.00
	1.55	3.95	4.5
	1.55	4.3	4.9
	1.61	4.36	4.58	Watch
	1.49	4.2	4.8
	1.5	4.1	5.06	Watch
	1.57	4.1	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.74)	4.17 ↑ (3.6)	4.78 ↑ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Naples
59.2%

Draw
21.8%

Richmond Kickers
19%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51.4%

24.8%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.6%

23.9%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Naples has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Naples's performance.

Richmond Kickers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naples than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Naples that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Richmond Kickers than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Richmond Kickers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Naples - Richmond Kickers Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Naples will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Naples (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (1.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Delgado L. (G) 3. Cisneros J. 20. Yearwood J. 4. Uderitz H. 5. Mastrantonio L. 21. Torrellas M. 6. Ciss O. 10. Ferrin A. 14. O'Connor K. 30. Cerro I. 9. Miglietti G.	35. Sneddon J. (G) 3. Anderson H. 2. Barnathan D. 4. Layton S. 44. Gallegos A. 32. Bolduc M. 11. Pannholzer T. 6. Sasankhah A. 10. Seufert N. (C) 14. Vazquez Z. 70. Lucca Dourado
Substitutes
19. Arevalo W. 16. Bulai-Tudor A. 24. Collins T. 11. Garcia C. 17. Halterman T. (G) 45. Likulia N. 23. Mesias A. 8. Osorio J. 31. Rose T.	18. Amer A. 1. Fillion Y. (G) 23. Freeman T. 45. Hanson H. 7. Johnson L. 99. Moore D. 22. Vinberg S.
Coaches
Gordon Z.	Ownby B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Miglietti G. ⚽, O'Connor K. (A),
34', Uderitz H. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Ciss O. 🟨,
56', Cerro I. ↓, Collins T. ↑,
63', Lucca Dourado ↓, Freeman T. ↑,
63', Vazquez Z. ↓, Johnson L. ↑,
63', Pannholzer T. 🟨,
67', 2 - 0, Miglietti G. ⚽, Collins T. (A),
72', Miglietti G. ↓, Garcia C. ↑,
72', Barnathan D. ↓, Vinberg S. ↑,
72', Ciss O. ↓, Mesias A. ↑,
72', Anderson H. ↓, Moore D. ↑,
78', Seufert N. ↓, Amer A. ↑,
87', Ferrin A. ↓, Arevalo W. ↑,
90+3', Gordon Z. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 10th and 17th).

In recent outings, Naples has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Richmond Kickers is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Naples carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Naples has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:2 (averaging 1.7:0.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Naples against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:1 goals.

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	FC Naples	32	14	4	14	39:46	-7	46
17	Richmond Kickers	32	7	5	20	37:65	-28	26

Last Results with these Odds

Richmond Kickers - the odds 3.75 are the expected chance of winning is 23.83%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Naples
USL League One
03.10.26	Naples - New York Cosmos	2:1 ✺
26.09.26	Naples - Chattanooga Red Wolves	1:0 ✺
19.09.26	Fort Wayne - Naples	2:2 ✺
11.09.26	One Knoxville - Naples	0:0 ✺
05.09.26	Naples - Boise	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WWTTL
- Richmond Kickers
USL League One
03.10.26	Richmond Kickers - One Knoxville	3:2 ✺
27.09.26	New York Cosmos - Richmond Kickers	3:2 ✺
19.09.26	Richmond Kickers - Charlotte Independence	1:2 ✺
16.09.26	Westchester SC - Richmond Kickers	5:2 ✺
12.09.26	Richmond Kickers - Chattanooga Red Wolves	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
21.03.26	Richmond Kickers - Naples	0:1
02.08.25	Richmond Kickers - Naples	1:2
12.04.25	Naples - Richmond Kickers	2:1

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