Match Info

AUSTRIA: BUNDESLIGA - ROUND 15

Date: 5 November 2022, Saturday

Location: Josko Arena (Ried)

Referee: Hameter M. (Aut)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Sky Sport


	Ried		Austria Klagenfurt

	1	X	2
	2.62	3.4	2.62	Watch
	2.6	3.4	2.5
	2.55	3.5	2.52
	2.65	3.35	2.55
	2.7	3.65	2.6
	2.55	3.25	2.5
	2.58	3.55	2.55	Watch
	2.65	3.4	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↓ (2.63)	3.44 ↑ (3.43)	2.55 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ried
35.9%

Draw
27.3%

Austria Klagenfurt
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

27%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

26.9%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ried has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Austria Klagenfurt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ried than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Austria Klagenfurt than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	22.2%	44.4%

Ried - Austria Klagenfurt Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Ried will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%). Austria Klagenfurt will win (votes: 8 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Austria Klagenfurt: 21.4% – 67.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 11 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation Group) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group)).

Ried has the most likely position - 11 (19.76%), has project points - 22, has currently - 12, has a chance of relegated (20%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Austria Klagenfurt has the most likely position - 6 (23.64%), has project points - 26, has currently - 20, has a very small chance of relegated (1%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 35, small importance 14, small match rating 24. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ried won 1.

Ried is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Austria Klagenfurt is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Ried have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Ried: Stosic N. (Injury) Weberbauer J. (Injury) Ziegl M. (Injury)

There will not play in Austria Klagenfurt: Jaritz F. (Injury) Markelic F. (Injury)

Last 8 head-to-head matches Ried won 1 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Ried won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Ried
Austrian Bundesliga
30.10.22	Sturm Graz - Ried	2:1 ✺
23.10.22	Austria Lustenau - Ried	0:0 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
18.10.22	Horn - Ried	2:3 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
15.10.22	Ried - Rapid Wien	1:0 ✺
09.10.22	Wolfsberger - Ried	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 LTWWW
- Austria Klagenfurt
Austrian Bundesliga
29.10.22	Austria Klagenfurt - Swarovski Tirol	2:3 ✺
22.10.22	Rapid Wien - Austria Klagenfurt	0:1 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
18.10.22	Dornbirn - Austria Klagenfurt	1:2 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
15.10.22	Austria Klagenfurt - LASK Linz	1:3 ✺
08.10.22	Austria Klagenfurt - Austria Lustenau	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Bundesliga
13.08.22	Austria Klagenfurt - Ried	1:0
27.02.22	Austria Klagenfurt - Ried	1:1
Austrian OFB Cup
04.02.22	Ried - Austria Klagenfurt	2:0
Austrian Bundesliga
02.10.21	Ried - Austria Klagenfurt	1:1
Austrian 2 Liga
21.02.20	Austria Klagenfurt - Ried	1:1
26.07.19	Ried - Austria Klagenfurt	1:3
26.05.19	Ried - Austria Klagenfurt	1:1

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