Match Info

Bundesliga - Relegation Group - Round 26

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Lavanttal-Arena (Wolfsberg)

Referee: Weinberger J. (Aut)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 2
World	Onefootball


	Wolfsberger		Ried

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.2	2.4	Watch
	2.62	3.35	2.58
	2.71	3.6	2.65
	2.64	3.57	2.54	Watch
	2.5	3.3	2.5
	2.67	3.46	2.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (2.37)	3.41 ↑ (3.22)	2.55 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wolfsberger
36%

Draw
27.4%

Ried
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

28.5%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

27.9%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wolfsberger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Ried has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolfsberger than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ried than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	33.3%	16.7%

Wolfsberger - Ried Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Wolfsberger will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Ried will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Polster N. (G) 22. Baumgartner D. (C) 15. Diabate C. 37. Wimmer N. 7. Gattermayer A. 30. Sulzner M. 8. Piesinger S. 77. Renner R. 20. Zukic D. 24. Ngankam J. 10. Avdijaj D.	1. Leitner A. (C) 5. Havenaar N. 23. Sollbauer M. 30. Steurer O. 12. Bajic A. 6. Maart Y. 8. Rasner M. 17. Pomer P. 28. Bajlicz N. 7. Mutandwa K. 29. van Wyk A.
Substitutes
34. Agyeman E. 17. Atanga D. 70. Djuric D. 13. Gruber T. 1. Gutlbauer L. (G) 9. Kojzek E. 23. Kujovic E. 2. Matic B. 31. Wohlmuth F.	47. Aisowieren E. E. 15. Boguo J. 25. Kirnbauer D. 36. Kostenbauer M. (G) 26. Mayer J. 19. Nasrawe J. 9. Sane S. 3. Scherzer J. 24. Wernitznig C.
Coaches
Silberberger T.	Senft M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Renner R. ↓, Djuric D. ↑,
44', Rasner M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Rasner M. ↓, Mayer J. ↑,
50', van Wyk A. ↓, Boguo J. ↑,
57', Avdijaj D. ↓, Kojzek E. ↑,
57', Ngankam J. ↓, Atanga D. ↑,
57', Sulzner M. ↓, Kujovic E. ↑,
61', Pomer P. 🟨,
67', Bajlicz N. ↓, Nasrawe J. ↑,
80', Zukic D. ↓, Wohlmuth F. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wolfsberger won 3.

Wolfsberger is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Ried's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ried may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Ried has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Wolfsberger: Pink M. (Knee Injury) Schopf A. (Inactive)

There will not play in Ried: Stoger D. (Inactive) Wimmer F. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wolfsberger won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 26:18. (average 1.3:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Wolfsberger won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.2:0.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Ried	8	3	2	3	13:13	0	11
11	Wolfsberger AC	7	1	2	4	7:13	-6	5

Last Results with these Odds

Wolfsberger - the odds 2.37 are the expected chance of winning is 38.68%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wolfsberger AC
Austrian Bundesliga
04.04.26	Swarovski Tirol - Wolfsberger	3:1 ✺
21.03.26	Wolfsberger - Rheindorf Altach	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Grazer AK - Wolfsberger	2:0 ✺
08.03.26	LASK Linz - Wolfsberger	3:1 ✺
01.03.26	Wolfsberger - Sturm Graz	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LTLLT
- SV Ried
Austrian Bundesliga
03.04.26	Ried - Rheindorf Altach	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
27.03.26	Ried - SPG Wels	2:1 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
21.03.26	Blau-Weiss Linz - Ried	3:2 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
18.03.26	Ried - LASK Linz	1:2 ET ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
14.03.26	Ried - Swarovski Tirol	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Bundesliga
29.11.25	Ried - Wolfsberger	1:0
18.10.25	Wolfsberger - Ried	1:2
Austrian OFB Cup
26.09.23	Ried - Wolfsberger	1:2
Austrian Bundesliga
02.06.23	Ried - Wolfsberger	1:2
01.04.23	Wolfsberger - Ried	1:0
19.03.23	Ried - Wolfsberger	0:0
09.10.22	Wolfsberger - Ried	1:2

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