Match Info

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday


	Ried		Austria Wien

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.6	2.75	Watch
	2.32	3.6	2.65
	2.38	3.86	2.73
	2.33	3.83	2.72	Watch
	2.30	3.75	2.65
	2.3	3.74	2.72	Watch
	2.25	3.6	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.32)	3.71 ↑ (3.52)	2.72 ↓ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ried
40.6%

Draw
25.1%

Austria Wien
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

26.8%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

28%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ried has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Austria Wien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ried than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Austria Wien than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Ried - Austria Wien Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 5th in the Promotion - Bundesliga (Championship Group: ) and 10th in the Bundesliga (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ried won 0.

Ried has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Austria shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Ried has recorded 3 wins, 3 draws, and 14 losses, with a goal aggregate of 21:48 (averaging 1.1:2.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Ried against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 6 losses, with 11:22 goals (averaging 1.1:2.2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Ried	8	3	2	3	13:13	0	11
10	Austria Vienna	8	2	1	5	7:15	-8	7

Last Results with these Odds

Austria Wien - the odds 2.91 are the expected chance of winning is 32.46%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Ried
Austrian Bundesliga
10.10.26	Swarovski Tirol - Ried	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
02.10.26	Ried - Amstetten	3:3 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
20.09.26	Ried - Wolfsberger	4:1 ✺
11.09.26	Ried - Red Bull Salzburg	1:1 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
04.09.26	Wallern-Marienkirchen - Ried	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WTWTW
- Austria Wien
Austrian Bundesliga
10.10.26	Austria Wien - Sturm Graz	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
02.10.26	Admira - Austria Wien	1:6 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
19.09.26	Grazer AK - Austria Wien	2:2 ✺
13.09.26	Austria Wien - Austria Lustenau	2:1 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
05.09.26	FCM Arkadia Traiskirchen - Austria Wien	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Bundesliga
08.03.26	Ried - Austria Wien	0:2
20.09.25	Austria Wien - Ried	3:2
04.03.23	Ried - Austria Wien	1:3
18.09.22	Austria Wien - Ried	3:0
23.10.21	Austria Wien - Ried	4:1
25.07.21	Ried - Austria Wien	2:1
21.05.21	Ried - Austria Wien	3:2

Ried - Austria Wien: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide