Match Info

AUSTRIA: 2. Liga - Round 9

Date: 6 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Innviertel Arena (Ried)

Referee: Simsek I. (Aut)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1, ORF Sport+, ORF TVthek
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, LAOLA1


	Ried		St. Pölten

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.55	3.9	5
	1.57	4	5.5
	1.59	4.18	5.29
	1.59	4.07	5.24	Watch
	1.6	4	5.25	Watch
	1.57	4	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.41)	4.03 ↓ (4.55)	5.3 ↓ (6.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ried
59.2%

Draw
23.2%

St. Pölten
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.2%

20.5%

13.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.5%

19.5%

12.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ried has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ried's form might have worsened.

St. Pölten has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ried than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ried, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Pölten than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Ried - St. Pölten Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Leitner A. (G) 19. Berger D. 21. Bumberger D. 28. Eza W. 10. Grosse M. 5. Havenaar N. 26. Mayer J. 8. Rasner M. 23. Sollbauer M. 30. Steurer O. 31. Wohlmuth F.	1. Hulsmann T. (G) 4. Bauer S. 23. Carlson D. (C) 17. Harakate R. 30. Just E. 34. Krasniqi L. 71. M'Buyi C. 12. Paugain W. 11. Stendera M. 21. Stolt M. 2. Thesker S.
Substitutes
3. Agbenyenu L. 12. Bajic A. 43. Celic N. 17. Pomer P. 18. Rossdorfer F. 16. Sammer B. 77. Wimmer F. (G)	70. Dombaxi G. 20. Kirejczyk G. 32. Kurz M. (G) 47. Naamo D. 6. Neumayer A. 10. Ritzmaier M. 15. Skogen S.
Coaches
Senft M.	Gitsov A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', Rasner M. 🟨,
21', Wohlmuth F. 🟨,
26', Krasniqi L. 🟨,
40', 0 - 1, Just E. ⚽, Krasniqi L. (A),
45+2', 1 - 1, Bumberger D. ⚽, Eza W. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', M'Buyi C. ↓, Kirejczyk G. ↑,
46', Mayer J. ↓, Celic N. ↑,
46', Berger D. ↓, Pomer P. ↑,
47', Stendera M. 🟨,
52', Havenaar N. 🟨,
61', Grosse M. ↓, Bajic A. ↑,
66', 1 - 2, Stolt M. ⚽, Bauer S. (A),
72', Rasner M. ↓, Rossdorfer F. ↑,
73', Stendera M. ↓, Neumayer A. ↑,
75', Bumberger D. ↓, Agbenyenu L. ↑,
77', Havenaar N. 🟨,
81', Just E. ↓, Naamo D. ↑,
87', 1 - 3, Harakate R. ⚽, Neumayer A. (A),
88', Harakate R. 🟨,
88', Stolt M. ↓, Dombaxi G. ↑,
89', Harakate R. ↓, Ritzmaier M. ↑,
90+2', 2 - 3, Bajic A. ⚽,
90+4', 2 - 4, Kirejczyk G. ⚽, Ritzmaier M. (A),

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ried won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

St. Pölten could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ried is a favorite.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Ried won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 20:23 (average 1.3:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Ried won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11:13 (average 1.4:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Ried
Austrian 2 Liga
27.09.24	Ried - Rapid Wien II	2:3 ✺
22.09.24	Amstetten - Ried	2:3 ✺
13.09.24	Ried - ASK Voitsberg	0:0 ✺
31.08.24	Lafnitz - Ried	0:3 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
28.08.24	Ried - Sturm Graz	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LWTWL
- SKN St. Pölten
Austrian 2 Liga
01.10.24	St. Pölten - Admira	0:1 ✺
28.09.24	St. Pölten - Stripfing	0:0 ✺
20.09.24	ASK Voitsberg - St. Pölten	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
05.09.24	Austria Wien - St. Pölten	2:2 ✺
Austrian 2 Liga
30.08.24	First Vienna - St. Pölten	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Austrian 2 Liga
10.05.24	St. Pölten - Ried	0:4
29.10.23	Ried - St. Pölten	1:1
Club Friendly
28.01.23	Ried - St. Pölten	2:2
Austrian Bundesliga
27.04.21	St. Pölten - Ried	0:0
24.04.21	Ried - St. Pölten	2:1
14.02.21	Ried - St. Pölten	1:1
31.10.20	St. Pölten - Ried	4:0

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