The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ried 48.9%
Draw 25.5%
Wolfsberger 25.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.1%
25.8%
32.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.8%
24.8%
30.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ried has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ried's performance.
Wolfsberger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Wolfsberger might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ried than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ried that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolfsberger than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wolfsberger could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Ried - Wolfsberger Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Leitner A. (C) 5. Radonjic D. 28. Chukwudi S. 30. Steurer O. 8. Rasner M. 6. Maart Y. 22. Schwab S. 17. Pomer P. 12. Bajic A. 11. Rhodes J. 47. Aisowieren E. E.
1. Gutlbauer L. (G) 6. Behounek R. 8. Piesinger S. (C) 35. Kitz M. 19. Mamageishvili O. 30. Sulzner M. 36. Fitz D. 77. Renner R. 23. Verhounig P. 31. Wohlmuth F. 32. Pink M.
Substitutes
15. Boguo J. 33. Goiginger A. 92. Kiese I. 21. Kusanovic T. 19. Lund-Jensen T. 4. Malicsek L. 9. Sissoko P. 7. Sorg O. 77. Wimmer F. (G)
34. Agyemang E. 10. Avdijaj D. 70. Djuric D. 12. Gliklich L. (G) 7. Hassler L. 49. Karamoko S. 17. Schabauer M. 20. Schriebl T. 11. Schwarz A.
Coaches
Despotovic M.
Silberberger T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Bajic A. ⚽,
9', 2 - 0, Aisowieren E. E. ⚽, Pomer P. (A),
38', Gutlbauer L. 🟨,
40', 3 - 0, Schwab S. (Penalty Awarded),
42', Schwab S. 🟨,
45', Fitz D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Behounek R. ↓, Avdijaj D. ↑,
46', Pink M. ↓, Hassler L. ↑,
46', Mamageishvili O. ↓, Agyemang E. ↑,
55', Rhodes J. ↓, Boguo J. ↑,
56', Kitz M. 🟨,
58', Piesinger S. 🟨,
69', Aisowieren E. E. ↓, Kiese I. ↑,
69', Schwab S. ↓, Lund-Jensen T. ↑,
71', Fitz D. ↓, Karamoko S. ↑,
75', Steurer O. 🟨,
81', 4 - 0, Kiese I. ⚽, Bajic A. (A),
83', Bajic A. ↓, Malicsek L. ↑,
83', Rasner M. ↓, Sissoko P. ↑,
85', Kiese I. 🟨,
87', Sulzner M. ↓, Schriebl T. ↑,
87', 4 - 1, Kitz M. ⚽, Avdijaj D. (A),
Preview
A direct clash near the foot of the table where neither side can afford to drop points (ranked 11th in the Bundesliga (Relegation Group: ) and 10th in the Bundesliga (Relegation Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ried won 3.
In recent outings, Ried has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Wolfsberger has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Wolfsberger may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Ried holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Ried has recorded 5 wins, 5 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:26 (averaging 0.9:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Ried against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, with 9:15 goals (averaging 0.9:1.5 per game).
Outrights of Austrian Bundesliga for now
Wolfsberger AC: 0.51% Ried: 0.51%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
5
Ried
7
2
2
3
11:12
-1
8
11
Wolfsberger AC
7
1
2
4
7:13
-6
5
Last Results with these Odds
Wolfsberger - the odds 2.82 are the expected chance of winning is 32.08%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.