Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Final

Date: 27 August 2025, Wednesday

Location: Skonto stadions (Riga)

Referee: Delajod W. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Nova Sport 5, Oneplay
Latvia	Sportacentrs TV, TV4
Slovakia	Voyo


	Riga		Sparta Prague

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.5	2	Watch
	3.5	3.7	1.85
	3.35	3.45	2.02	Watch
	3.47	3.6	2.04
	3.43	3.34	2.09	Watch
	4	3.8	1.73	Watch
	3.56	3.66	2.05	Watch
	4.2	3.69	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.64 ↓ (4.3)	3.59 ↓ (3.65)	1.93 ↑ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Riga
25.7%

Draw
26%

Sparta Prague
48.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.2%

24.9%

53.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.5%

25.3%

53.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Riga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Sparta Prague has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sparta Prague might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Riga than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sparta Prague than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.9%	23.5%	70.6%

Riga - Sparta Prague Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Riga will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). Sparta Prague will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sparta Prague: 46.1% – 91.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Riga (votes: 2 - 25%). Sparta Prague (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH +0.5 - Riga (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Riga (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Sparta Prague (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Zviedris K. (G) 23. Tonisevs M. 21. Musah B. 3. Ngom M. 13. Jurkovskis R. 8. Iago Siqueira 40. Ankrah A. 4. Galo O. 77. Mankenda G. 10. Reginaldo Ramires (C) 20. Grimaldo J.	1. Vindahl P. (G) 16. Uchenna E. 26. Vydra P. 30. Zeleny J. 17. Preciado A. 20. Mannsverk S. 6. Kairinen K. 11. Rynes M. 14. Birmancevic V. 10. Kuchta J. 22. Haraslin L. (C)
Substitutes
27. Birka E. 34. Cernomordijs A. 9. Contreras A. 22. Diop M. 44. Kazainis M. (G) 25. Muzinga N. 11. Pena B. 18. Regza M. 19. Taiwo A. 5. Wassom K. 12. Zommers K. (G)	5. Eneme S. 21. Holly D. 61. Kerl Dan. (G) 7. Mercado J. 28. Milla K. 31. Mokrovics R. 27. Panak F. 9. Rrahmani A. 18. Sadilek L. 4. Solbakken M. 2. Suchomel M. 44. Surovcik J. (G)
Coaches
Gula A.	Priske B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Mankenda G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', Zeleny J. 🟨,
60', Galo O. ↓, Contreras A. ↑,
60', Mankenda G. ↓, Diop M. ↑,
61', Kuchta J. ↓, Rrahmani A. ↑,
62', Mannsverk S. ↓, Eneme S. ↑,
68', 1 - 0, Iago Siqueira ⚽, Diop M. (A),
70', Contreras A. 🟨,
71', Haraslin L. 🟨,
73', Rynes M. ↓, Mercado J. ↑,
78', Grimaldo J. ↓, Regza M. ↑,
90+5', Preciado A. ↓, Suchomel M. ↑,
90+7', Birmancevic V. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg result: 0-2. 2nd leg.

Recent performances by Riga have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sparta Prague is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Sparta Prague may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Sparta Prague is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Riga won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Riga FC
UEFA Europa Conference League
21.08.25	Sparta Prague - Riga	2:0 ✺
Latvian Cup
17.08.25	Riga - Riga Mariners	10:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
14.08.25	Beitar Jerusalem - Riga	3:1 ✺
Latvian Virsliga
10.08.25	Riga - Grobiņa	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
07.08.25	Riga - Beitar Jerusalem	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWLWW
- AC Sparta Prague
Czech 1 Liga
24.08.25	Sparta Prague - Dukla Prague	3:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
21.08.25	Sparta Prague - Riga	2:0 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
17.08.25	Slovan Liberec - Sparta Prague	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
14.08.25	Ararat-Armenia - Sparta Prague	1:2 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
10.08.25	Sparta Prague - Sigma Olomouc	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
21.08.25	Sparta Prague - Riga	2:0

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