Match Info

Date: 13 January 2021, Wednesday


	Rijeka		Gorica

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.75	6
	1.53	4.25	4.5
	1.3	5.4	6.6
	1.27	5	7
	1.33	4.99	6.83
	1.5	4.33	4.5
	1.31	4.98	6.15	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (2.45)	4.81 ↑ (3.75)	5.94 ↑ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rijeka
66%

Draw
18.8%

Gorica
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

24%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

18%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rijeka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+29.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rijeka's performance.

Gorica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-24.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gorica might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rijeka than the current prediction. (-17.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rijeka that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gorica than the current prediction. (+14.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gorica could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Rijeka - Gorica Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

Rijeka is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gorica has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Gorica could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Rijeka is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Rijeka won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Rijeka won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HNK Rijeka
Club Friendly
08.01.21	Rijeka - Videoton	0:1 ✺
Croatian Cup
16.12.20	Varaždin - Rijeka	1:2 ✺
Croatian HNL
13.12.20	Rijeka - Dinamo Zagreb	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
10.12.20	Rijeka - AZ Alkmaar	2:1 ✺
Croatian HNL
06.12.20	Hajduk Split - Rijeka	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.6 LWTWW
- ND Gorica
Slovenian PrvaLiga
19.12.20	Olimpija Ljubljana - Gorica	2:0 ✺
16.12.20	Tabor Sežana - Gorica	1:0 ✺
12.12.20	Gorica - Celje	0:2 ✺
06.12.20	Maribor - Gorica	3:1 ✺
02.12.20	Gorica - Domžale	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
20.01.18	Rijeka - Gorica	0:0
25.06.16	Rijeka - Gorica	0:0
04.07.12	Rijeka - Gorica	N/A

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