Match Info

Date: 10 December 2020, Thursday


	Rijeka		AZ Alkmaar

	1	X	2
	11	5.5	1.28
	10.5	5.75	1.28
	11.5	6.1	1.29
	9	5.6	1.28
	9.05	5.44	1.34
	11	5.5	1.27
	9.7	6.1	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.25 ↑ (8.45)	5.71 ↑ (5.15)	1.29 ↓ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rijeka
9.3%

Draw
16.7%

AZ Alkmaar
73.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.2%

18.4%

70.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.6%

10%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rijeka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

AZ Alkmaar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rijeka than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rijeka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (-35.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for AZ Alkmaar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20.6%	5.2%	74.2%

Rijeka - AZ Alkmaar Predictions

Users Predictions: 97 users predict this event. Rijeka will win (votes: 20 - 20.6%). AZ will win (votes: 72 - 74.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 5.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AZ: 65.5% – 82.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

Rijeka has not chance of round of 32, has not chance of round of 16, has not chance of qtrs, has not chance of semis, has not chance of final, has not chance of win league.

AZ has a good chance of round of 32 (71%), has a chance of round of 16 (25%), has a small chance of qtrs (9%), has a very small chance of semis (3%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Recently AZ have a series of home games.

In this match AZ is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Rijeka won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HNK Rijeka
Croatian HNL
06.12.20	Hajduk Split - Rijeka	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
03.12.20	Real Sociedad - Rijeka	2:2 ✺
Croatian HNL
29.11.20	Rijeka - Osijek	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
26.11.20	Napoli - Rijeka	2:0 ✺
Croatian HNL
08.11.20	Rijeka - Lokomotiva Zagreb	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.7 WTTLW
- AZ Alkmaar
Dutch Eredivisie
06.12.20	AZ Alkmaar - Groningen	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
03.12.20	AZ Alkmaar - Napoli	1:1 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
29.11.20	Heracles Almelo - AZ Alkmaar	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
26.11.20	AZ Alkmaar - Real Sociedad	0:0 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
22.11.20	AZ Alkmaar - Emmen	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LTWTW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
29.10.20	AZ Alkmaar - Rijeka	4:1

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