Match Info

Date: 10 October 2021, Sunday


	Rio Ave		Vilafranquense

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.5	7	Watch
	1.38	4.6	7.25
	1.37	4.3	6.75
	1.4	4.5	6.6
	1.41	4.86	8.08
	1.35	4.5	8.5
	1.4	4.6	6.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.52)	4.55 ↑ (4.12)	7.3 ↑ (5.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rio Ave
66.9%

Draw
20.4%

Vilafranquense
12.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.5%

22.7%

15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

14.1%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rio Ave has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rio Ave's performance.

Vilafranquense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Ave than the current prediction. (-28.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rio Ave that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilafranquense than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vilafranquense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Rio Ave - Vilafranquense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal and 16 in the zone Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Vilafranquense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Rio Ave is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rio Ave FC
Portuguese Liga 2
03.10.21	Porto B - Rio Ave	1:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
26.09.21	Vitória de Sernache - Rio Ave	1:3 ✺
Portuguese League Cup
22.09.21	Rio Ave - Santa Clara	2:2 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
18.09.21	Rio Ave - Feirense	0:4 ✺
10.09.21	Estrela da Amadora - Rio Ave	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TWTLW
- UD Vilafranquense
Portuguese Liga 2
03.10.21	Vilafranquense - Farense	2:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
25.09.21	Imortal - Vilafranquense	0:2 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
20.09.21	Académica Coimbra - Vilafranquense	1:2 ✺
12.09.21	Vilafranquense - Chaves	1:1 ✺
30.08.21	Mafra - Vilafranquense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 TWWTL

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