Match Info
Serie D - Play Offs - 1/16-finalsDate: 9 August 2025, SaturdayLocation: Estádio Mário Monteiro (Cachoeiro de Itapemirim)
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 |
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 |
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Rio Branco AC ES |
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Luverdense |
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|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.82 |
3.1 |
4.1 |
|
 |
1.78 |
3.1 |
4.35 |
|
 |
1.78 |
3.11 |
4.87 |
|
 |
1.26 |
4.99 |
11.63 |
 Watch |
 |
1.83 |
3.13 |
4.33 |
|
 |
1.97 |
3.2 |
3.6 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.74 ↓
(2) |
3.44 ↑
(3) |
5.48 ↑
(3.75) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Rio Branco AC ES
54.8% | Draw
27.8% | Luverdense
17.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rio Branco AC ES has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rio Branco AC ES's performance.Luverdense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Luverdense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Branco AC ES than the current prediction. (-7.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rio Branco AC ES that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luverdense than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luverdense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Rio Branco AC ES - Luverdense Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 27', 1 - 0, Maranhao ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 53', 2 - 0, Matheus Castelo ⚽,
- 56', Romarinho 🟨,
- 69', Felipe Costa 🟥,
- 81', Anderson Alagoano 🟥,
- 86', 3 - 0, Diego Fernandes ⚽,
Preview
1st leg result: 0-0. 2nd leg.Rio Branco AC ES is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).Luverdense has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1). In this match, Rio Branco AC ES is the team to beat.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Rio Branco AC ES won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:7. (average 0.7:2.3).Including home match between the teams, Rio Branco AC ES won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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