Match Info

Paulista A3 - Round 10

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday


	Rio Claro		EC São Bernardo

	1	X	2
	2.38	2.92	2.88
	2.44	2.74	3.02
	2.45	2.85	2.99
	2.45	2.63	3
	2.42	2.8	3.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (2.39)	2.79 ↓ (3.02)	2.98 ↑ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rio Claro
37.2%

Draw
32.4%

EC São Bernardo
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

30.1%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

31.2%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rio Claro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

EC São Bernardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Claro than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for EC São Bernardo than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Rio Claro - EC São Bernardo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
81', Jeffinho 🟥,
81', Romario 🟥,
90+4', 1 - 0, Francis A. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Rio Claro has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

EC São Bernardo is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Rio Claro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Rio Claro won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rio Claro
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
26.02.26	Itapirense - Rio Claro	1:1 ✺
22.02.26	Rio Claro - Desportivo Brasil	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Rio Claro - Rio Preto	2:1 ✺
11.02.26	Portuguesa Santista - Rio Claro	2:1 ✺
07.02.26	Catanduva - Rio Claro	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TWWLT
- EC São Bernardo
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
25.02.26	EC São Bernardo - União Barbarense	0:1 ✺
20.02.26	Paulista - EC São Bernardo	0:1 ✺
14.02.26	Francana - EC São Bernardo	0:2 ✺
11.02.26	EC São Bernardo - Catanduva	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	EC São Bernardo - Rio Preto	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
03.05.21	EC São Bernardo - Rio Claro	0:1

Rio Claro - EC São Bernardo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide