Match Info

USA: USL CHAMPIONSHIP

Date: 21 June 2023, Wednesday

Location: H-E-B Park (Edinburg)

Referee: Flores G. (Usa)


	Rio Grande Valley		Colorado Springs Switchbacks

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.3	3.3	2.55
	2.3	3.55	2.65
	2.45	3.63	2.62
	2.4	3.25	2.6
	2.42	3.44	2.62	Watch
	2.36	3.5	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.15)	3.45 ↑ (3.2)	2.62 ↓ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rio Grande Valley
38.5%

Draw
26.5%

Colorado Springs Switchbacks
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

28.1%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

26.2%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rio Grande Valley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Colorado Springs Switchbacks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Grande Valley than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colorado Springs Switchbacks than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Rio Grande Valley - Colorado Springs Switchbacks Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Deric T. (G) 17. Cerro I. 3. Ackwei W. 4. Pimentel E. (C) 20. Ritondale T. 8. Davila T. 16. Coronado R. 6. Benitez G. 10. Pinzon C. 15. Nodarse F. 23. Francois C.	1. Herrera C. (G) 23. Agren O. 5. Mahoney M. (C) 20. Seagrist P. 12. Skundrich D. 80. Williams D. 13. Echevarria S. 8. Chapman J. 11. Beckford D. 27. Tejada J. 9. Williams R.
Substitutes
13. Cabrera W. 29. Frame C. 11. Galindrez J. 19. Kinzner E. 9. Lopez F. 21. Merancio C. (G) 2. Ricketts J.	22. Erdmann D. 24. Fjeldberg J. 99. Foster M. 33. Kuzminsky J. (G) 7. Magee T. 41. Musa J. 21. Wheeler A.
Coaches
Cabrera W.	Hogan S.

Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Rio Grande Valley has the most likely position - 12 (35.12%), project points - 34, currently - 12, a small chance of playoffs (12%), a very small chance of qtrs (4%), a very small chance of semis (2%), a very small chance of final (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Colorado Springs has the most likely position - 6 (14.74%), project points - 51, currently - 19, a good chance of playoffs (85%), a chance of qtrs (40%), a chance of semis (19%), a small chance of final (9%), a very small chance of win league (5%).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rio Grande Valley won 1.

Rio Grande Valley is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Colorado Springs is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Rio Grande Valley won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 21-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Rio Grande Valley won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rio Grande Valley FC Toros
USL Championship
17.06.23	New Mexico United - Rio Grande Valley	2:2 ✺
10.06.23	Rio Grande Valley - Miami	3:3 ✺
03.06.23	Orange County SC - Rio Grande Valley	2:0 ✺
27.05.23	Rio Grande Valley - Charleston Battery	0:2 ✺
20.05.23	Rio Grande Valley - Tampa Bay Rowdies	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TTLLL
- Colorado Springs Switchbacks
USL Championship
17.06.23	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Las Vegas Lights	2:0 ✺
10.06.23	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Orange County SC	4:0 ✺
02.06.23	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Oakland Roots	0:1 ✺
27.05.23	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Colorado Springs Switchbacks	2:1 ✺
20.05.23	Indy Eleven - Colorado Springs Switchbacks	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
22.10.22	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Rio Grande Valley	3:0
17.09.22	Rio Grande Valley - Colorado Springs Switchbacks	1:0
05.05.22	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Rio Grande Valley	3:2
16.10.21	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Rio Grande Valley	1:0
18.09.21	Rio Grande Valley - Colorado Springs Switchbacks	1:2
11.09.21	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Rio Grande Valley	1:1
14.08.21	Rio Grande Valley - Colorado Springs Switchbacks	2:5

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