Match Info

BRAZIL: PAULISTA A3 - ROUND 11

Date: 3 March 2024, Sunday


	Rio Preto		Grêmio Prudente

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.25	1.75
				Watch
	4.22	3.28	1.76
	4.32	3.44	1.74
	4.1	3.45	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.19 ↑ (3.88)	3.36 ↓ (3.4)	1.76 ↓ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rio Preto
21.6%

Draw
26.9%

Grêmio Prudente
51.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.4%

26.7%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.4%

26.7%

49.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rio Preto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Grêmio Prudente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Preto than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio Prudente than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

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Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista A4 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Rio Preto is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Grêmio Prudente is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Grêmio Prudente could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Grêmio Prudente is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rio Preto EC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
28.02.24	Red Bull Bragantino II - Rio Preto	3:0 ✺
25.02.24	Rio Preto - Lemense FC	2:0 ✺
21.02.24	Sertãozinho - Rio Preto	3:0 ✺
11.02.24	Rio Preto - Votuporanguense	0:2 ✺
07.02.24	Rio Preto - União São João	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWLLL
- Grêmio Prudente
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
28.02.24	Grêmio Prudente - União Suzano	2:1 ✺
21.02.24	Lemense FC - Grêmio Prudente	1:4 ✺
10.02.24	Bandeirante - Grêmio Prudente	3:2 ✺
07.02.24	Grêmio Prudente - Sertãozinho	2:0 ✺
03.02.24	EC São Bernardo - Grêmio Prudente	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWLWL

Rio Preto - Grêmio Prudente: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide