The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Rionegro Águilas 68.5%
Draw 20.3%
Deportivo Pereira 11.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
68.2%
19.8%
12.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.1%
16.9%
14.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rionegro Águilas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
Deportivo Pereira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rionegro Águilas than the current prediction. (-10.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rionegro Águilas that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Pereira than the current prediction. (+3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
0%
25%
Rionegro Águilas - Deportivo Pereira Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Rionegro Águilas will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Pereira will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Soto J. (G) 30. Lara Vasquez N. 4. Mosquera A. 3. Ontaneda J. 32. Mena J. 24. Avalo Trejos J. E. 19. Lozano F. (C) 15. Suarez Chalare F. A. 8. Ricaurte A. 7. Arizalas E. 9. Vasquez A.
12. Betancourth J. (G) 6. Ortiz D. 17. Renteria R. 14. Moreno E. 21. Pacheco W. 5. Bermudez Correa J. A. 10. Acosta S. 23. Bovone T. 20. Monroy J. 11. Largacha J. 13. Quinones Y.
Substitutes
34. Arango H. (G) 17. Betancur E. 29. Blandon T. 20. Higgins A. 21. Marquez R. 13. Melendez J. 10. Noguera J. 16. Ramirez M. 6. Rojas I.
19. Aguirre M. 26. Montoya J. 27. Morales J. 8. Mosquera F. 24. Palacios M. 18. Perez M. 7. Plata A. 2. Urrea S. 33. Zuluaga S. (G)
Coaches
Robatto F.
Reyes A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
17', Bermudez Correa J. A. 🟨,
22', 1 - 0, Suarez Chalare F. A. ⚽, Ricaurte A. (A),
39', Urrea S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Arizalas E. ↓, Melendez J. ↑,
50', Melendez J. 🟨,
53', Ortiz D. 🟨,
54', Acosta S. 🟨,
64', Acosta S. ↓, Perez M. ↑,
67', Mena J. 🟨,
67', Pacheco W. 🟨,
68', Lozano F. 🟨,
69', 1 - 1, Largacha J. ⚽, Monroy J. (A),
71', 2 - 1, Vasquez A. ⚽, Melendez J. (A),
72', Lara Vasquez N. ↓, Noguera J. ↑,
72', Suarez Chalare F. A. ↓, Rojas I. ↑,
78', Monroy J. ↓, Plata A. ↑,
82', Avalo Trejos J. E. ↓, Ramirez M. ↑,
85', Plata A. 🟨,
87', Bermudez Correa J. A. ↓, Montoya J. ↑,
87', Largacha J. ↓, Aguirre M. ↑,
90', 2 - 2, Ortiz D. ⚽, Montoya J. (A),
Preview
A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 12th and 18th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rionegro Águilas won 2.
Rionegro Águilas has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Pereira has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Pereira may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Rionegro Águilas enters as the overwhelming favorite.
In the last 18 head-to-head meetings, Rionegro Águilas has recorded 6 wins, 8 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 23:19 (averaging 1.3:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Rionegro Águilas against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, with 10:9 goals (averaging 1.1:1 per game).
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Soto J. (G) 
Ontaneda J. 
Ortiz D. 
Bovone T. 
Monroy J. 
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