Match Info

Primera A - Clausura - Round 15

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Cincuentenario (Medellín) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Ulloa D. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Belarus	22:00	Sport TV
Colombia	14:00	Win+ Futbol, Win play
South America	—	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	15:00	Fanatiz, FOX Deportes, FOX Deportes, Fubo Latino 2


	Rionegro Águilas		Deportes Tolima

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.10	2.60	Watch
	2.80	3.10	2.40
	2.90	3.20	2.48	Watch
	2.94	3.15	2.67
	2.97	3.08	2.48	Watch
	2.90	3.00	2.60
	2.91	3.14	2.63	Watch
	2.80	3.10	2.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↓ (2.9)	3.11 ↓ (3.2)	2.55 ↑ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rionegro Águilas
32.6%

Draw
30.3%

Deportes Tolima
37%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.5%

29.5%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

29.6%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rionegro Águilas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Deportes Tolima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

The ML Model estimate for Rionegro Águilas aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Tolima than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Rionegro Águilas - Deportes Tolima Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Soto J. (G) 26. Lozano D. 4. Mosquera A. 3. Ontaneda J. 32. Mena J. 19. Lozano F. (C) 6. Rojas I. 9. Vasquez A. 8. Ricaurte A. 16. Ramirez M. 10. Noguera J.	1. Neto Volpi (G) 2. Angulo A. (C) 71. Osorio Y. 3. Angulo J. 20. Hernandez J. 8. Valencia E. 14. Martinez Yepez H. E. 80. Rovira B. 28. Lopez E. 24. Parra Osorio A. 9. Sandoval L.
Substitutes
7. Arizalas E. 24. Avalo Trejos J. E. 29. Blandon T. 18. Carreno A. 12. Hurtado J. (G) 30. Lara Vasquez N. 27. Londono C. 25. Roa J. 28. Rodriguez S.	15. Aguayo S. 23. Balanta Carabali G. J. (G) 18. Florez K. 7. Hurtado J. 33. Mosquera J. 4. Pedrozo D. 16. Reyes V. 19. Santiago J. 11. Valencia J.
Coaches
Robatto F.	Suarez L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', Rovira B. 🟨,
14', 1 - 0, Ramirez M. ⚽, Ricaurte A. (A),
19', Angulo A. 🟨,
24', 1 - 1, Parra Osorio A. ⚽, Rovira B. (A),
39', Noguera J. ↓, Avalo Trejos J. E. ↑,
45+1', Mosquera A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Angulo A. ↓, Mosquera J. ↑,
68', Lopez E. ↓, Hurtado J. ↑,
68', Valencia E. ↓, Florez K. ↑,
70', Ontaneda J. 🟨,
77', Parra Osorio A. 🟨,
81', Rojas I. ↓, Lara Vasquez N. ↑,
81', Ramirez M. ↓, Arizalas E. ↑,
81', Avalo Trejos J. E. ↓, Roa J. ↑,
86', Hernandez J. 🟨,
87', Vasquez A. ↓, Carreno A. ↑,
87', Sandoval L. ↓, Valencia J. ↑,
87', Martinez Yepez H. E. ↓, Reyes V. ↑,
90+4', 2 - 1, Soto J. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11th and 8th in the Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rionegro Águilas won 1.

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Recently, Rionegro Águilas has faced a series of away games on the road.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Rionegro Águilas has recorded 3 wins, 5 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:34 (averaging 0.8:1.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Rionegro Águilas against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 3 draws, and 6 losses, with 9:18 goals (averaging 0.9:1.8 per game).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Aguilas	16	5	7	4	21:20	1	22
11	Deportes Tolima	16	5	5	6	18:19	-1	20

Outrights of Colombian Primera A for now

Deportes Tolima: 4.33%

Last Results with these Odds

Rionegro Águilas - the odds 2.9 are the expected chance of winning is 32.51%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rionegro Águilas
Colombian Primera A
13.10.26	Atlético Bucaramanga - Rionegro Águilas	1:1 ✺
09.10.26	Alianza Valledupar - Rionegro Águilas	2:2 ✺
03.10.26	Rionegro Águilas - Jaguares de Córdoba	2:0 ✺
27.09.26	Deportivo Cali - Rionegro Águilas	2:0 ✺
23.09.26	América de Cali - Rionegro Águilas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TTWLL
- Deportes Tolima
Colombian Primera A
11.10.26	Jaguares de Córdoba - Deportes Tolima	3:2 ✺
08.10.26	Atlético Nacional - Deportes Tolima	0:0 ✺
03.10.26	Deportes Tolima - Boyacá Chicó	0:0 ✺
27.09.26	Fortaleza CEIF - Deportes Tolima	2:2 ✺
20.09.26	Deportes Tolima - América de Cali	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
31.03.26	Deportes Tolima - Rionegro Águilas	4:1
13.11.25	Rionegro Águilas - Deportes Tolima	1:2
25.05.25	Deportes Tolima - Rionegro Águilas	1:2
02.11.24	Rionegro Águilas - Deportes Tolima	0:1
12.04.24	Deportes Tolima - Rionegro Águilas	2:1
02.12.23	Deportes Tolima - Rionegro Águilas	0:1
18.11.23	Rionegro Águilas - Deportes Tolima	0:4

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