Match Info

Primera A - Clausura - Round 11

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro (Ibagué)

Referee: Roldan W. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belarus	Sport TV
Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz, FOX Deportes, FOX Deportes, Fubo Latino 2, Fubo Latino


	Deportes Tolima		América de Cali

	1	X	2
	2.40	3.20	3.00	Watch
	2.40	3.10	2.75
	2.45	3.25	2.90	Watch
	2.63	3.10	3.05
	2.35	3.11	3.15	Watch
	2.40	3.15	3.00
	2.50	2.95	2.94	Watch
	2.40	3.10	2.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↓ (2.55)	3.12 ↓ (3.15)	2.96 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Tolima
38.4%

Draw
30%

América de Cali
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

29.8%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

31%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Tolima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

América de Cali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Tolima than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for América de Cali than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	75%	8.3%

Deportes Tolima - América de Cali Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Deportes Tolima will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). América de Cali will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Neto Volpi (G) 28. Lopez E. 3. Angulo J. 2. Angulo A. (C) 30. Barbosa Gomez S. P. 17. Arrieta C. 14. Martinez Yepez H. E. 24. Parra Osorio A. 8. Valencia E. 20. Hernandez J. 15. Aguayo S.	12. Montoya J. (G) 18. Quintero Y. 24. Tovar C. 3. Rosero D. 30. Bertel O. 15. Carrascal R. (C) 5. Escobar J. 23. Quinones L. 10. Guzman Y. 7. Murillo J. 21. Angel T.
Substitutes
25. Cabezas S. 18. Florez K. 32. Guzman S. 7. Hurtado J. 33. Mosquera J. 13. Ortega M. (G) 71. Osorio Y. 16. Reyes V. 9. Sandoval L.	31. Aponza J. 6. Cavadia J. 22. Hernandez N. 14. Mina M. 88. Palacios J. 37. Toro A. (G) 2. Torres M. 77. Tortolero E. 9. Valencia D.
Coaches
Oliveros S.	Gonzalez D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
21', Quintero Y. 🟨,
22', 1 - 0, Aguayo S. (Penalty Awarded),
26', 1 - 1, Guzman Y. ⚽,
37', Murillo J. 🟥,
42', Carrascal R. 🟨,
42', Escobar J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Angel T. ↓, Mina M. ↑,
60', Valencia E. ↓, Sandoval L. ↑,
61', Montoya J. 🟨,
63', Escobar J. ↓, Cavadia J. ↑,
63', Guzman Y. ↓, Palacios J. ↑,
70', Parra Osorio A. ↓, Hurtado J. ↑,
80', Arrieta C. ↓, Guzman S. ↑,
80', Aguayo S. ↓, Florez K. ↑,
89', Palacios J. ↓, Tortolero E. ↑,
90+2', Florez K. 🟥,
90+4', Sandoval L. 🟨,

Preview

A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 6th in the Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 1st in the Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportes Tolima won 2.

Deportes Tolima has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

América de Cali shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

América de Cali could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Deportes Tolima has faced a series of away games on the road.

Recently, América de Cali has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Deportes Tolima has recorded 9 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:18 (averaging 1:0.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Deportes Tolima against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 10:5 goals (averaging 1:0.5 per game).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	America De Cali	12	8	3	1	24:7	17	27
8	Deportes Tolima	13	5	5	3	15:13	2	20

Last Results with these Odds

América de Cali - the odds 2.8 are the expected chance of winning is 33.48%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Tolima
Colombian Primera A
16.09.26	Once Caldas - Deportes Tolima	1:0 ✺
11.09.26	Independiente Santa Fe - Deportes Tolima	1:0 ✺
07.09.26	Llaneros SA - Deportes Tolima	1:2 ✺
31.08.26	Deportes Tolima - Cúcuta Deportivo	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
25.08.26	Independiente del Valle - Deportes Tolima	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLWWL
- América de Cali
Colombian Primera A
14.09.26	América de Cali - Deportivo Pasto	0:1 ✺
Colombian Copa
09.09.26	América de Cali - Deportivo Pereira	4:1 ✺
Colombian Primera A
03.09.26	América de Cali - Alianza Valledupar	3:0 ✺
29.08.26	Jaguares de Córdoba - América de Cali	2:2 ✺
26.08.26	América de Cali - Junior Barranquilla	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
15.03.26	América de Cali - Deportes Tolima	1:1
09.08.25	América de Cali - Deportes Tolima	0:1
12.06.25	América de Cali - Deportes Tolima	1:3
07.06.25	Deportes Tolima - América de Cali	1:1
23.02.25	Deportes Tolima - América de Cali	0:0
01.12.24	América de Cali - Deportes Tolima	4:2
27.11.24	Deportes Tolima - América de Cali	1:0

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