Match Info

Primera A - Clausura - Round 13

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro (Ibagué)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belarus	Sport TV
Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz, FOX Deportes, FOX Deportes, Fubo Latino 2, Fubo Latino


	Deportes Tolima		Boyacá Chicó

	1	X	2
	1.22	6.25	12	Watch
	1.25	5.50	10.00
	1.23	4.8	14.5	Watch
	1.24	5.94	15.7
	1.24	5.5	13	Watch
	1.21	5.65	15
	1.25	6.39	11.7	Watch
	1.21	5.8	12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.37)	5.73 ↑ (4.5)	12.99 ↑ (9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Tolima
76.4%

Draw
16.4%

Boyacá Chicó
7.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.6%

20.9%

10.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72%

19.9%

10%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Tolima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportes Tolima's performance.

Boyacá Chicó has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Tolima than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boyacá Chicó than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Deportes Tolima - Boyacá Chicó Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Deportes Tolima will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Boyacá Chicó will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Neto Volpi (G) 33. Mosquera J. 3. Angulo J. 2. Angulo A. (C) 30. Barbosa Gomez S. P. 32. Guzman S. 80. Rovira B. 7. Hurtado J. 10. Sanchez L. 8. Valencia E. 24. Parra Osorio A.	1. Agudelo D. (G) 24. Mosquera C. 5. Alomia J. 4. Mena J. (C) 14. Blanco Betancur C. 8. Salazar S. 6. Diaz J. 21. Pimentel J. 17. Sarria E. 22. Maya A. 16. Mera S.
Substitutes
15. Aguayo S. 18. Florez K. 13. Ortega M. (G) 4. Pedrozo D. 16. Reyes V. 19. Santiago J. 11. Valencia J. 26. Zapata N.	10. Cabrera Y. 29. Carabali L. 28. Cardenas 7. Cifuentes F. 19. Pimentel Betancourt J. 2. Polanco D. 11. Ramirez Raigosa D. A. 20. Viveros S. 12. Zapata B. (G)
Coaches
Suarez L.	Gomez J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Barbosa Gomez S. P. 🟨,
45+1', Pimentel J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Blanco Betancur C. ↓, Ramirez Raigosa D. A. ↑,
56', Sanchez L. ↓, Aguayo S. ↑,
68', Hurtado J. ↓, Florez K. ↑,
68', Guzman S. ↓, Santiago J. ↑,
69', Pimentel J. ↓, Viveros S. ↑,
69', Maya A. ↓, Cifuentes F. ↑,
73', Valencia E. 🟨,
78', Rovira B. ↓, Valencia J. ↑,
78', Valencia E. ↓, Reyes V. ↑,
84', Mera S. ↓, Polanco D. ↑,

Preview

A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8th in the Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular: ) and 14th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportes Tolima won 3.

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Deportes Tolima may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Deportes Tolima has faced a series of away games on the road.

Recently, Boyacá Chicó has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

The betting markets point to Deportes Tolima as the clear and undisputed favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Deportes Tolima has recorded 11 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 33:17 (averaging 1.7:0.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Deportes Tolima against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 19:4 goals (averaging 2.1:0.4 per game).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Deportes Tolima	13	5	5	3	15:13	2	20
14	Chico	11	3	3	5	10:18	-8	12

Last Results with these Odds

Boyacá Chicó - the odds 9 are the expected chance of winning is 10.45%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Tolima
Colombian Primera A
27.09.26	Fortaleza CEIF - Deportes Tolima	2:2 ✺
20.09.26	Deportes Tolima - América de Cali	1:1 ✺
16.09.26	Once Caldas - Deportes Tolima	1:0 ✺
11.09.26	Independiente Santa Fe - Deportes Tolima	1:0 ✺
07.09.26	Llaneros SA - Deportes Tolima	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TTLLW
- Boyacá Chicó
Colombian Primera A
25.09.26	Boyacá Chicó - Deportivo Pasto	3:0 ✺
19.09.26	Millonarios - Boyacá Chicó	3:0 ✺
15.09.26	Boyacá Chicó - Alianza Valledupar	1:2 ✺
12.09.26	Boyacá Chicó - Independiente Medellín	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Boyacá Chicó - Once Caldas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.3 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
23.03.26	Boyacá Chicó - Deportes Tolima	1:1
14.09.25	Deportes Tolima - Boyacá Chicó	4:0
01.04.25	Boyacá Chicó - Deportes Tolima	1:4
14.09.24	Deportes Tolima - Boyacá Chicó	2:1
01.03.24	Boyacá Chicó - Deportes Tolima	1:1
29.09.23	Deportes Tolima - Boyacá Chicó	2:0
23.04.23	Boyacá Chicó - Deportes Tolima	2:0

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