Match Info

Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 15

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Monumental (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Herrera D. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sporty TV, Sporty TV App, StarTimes App
Albania	SuperSport 4
Argentina	ESPN Premium, HBO Max, TNT Sports
Austria	DAZN
Bolivia	ESPN
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Paraguay	ESPN
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Portugal	Sport TV7
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
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Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
World	Onefootball, TyC Sports Internacional


	River Plate		Boca Juniors

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.1	3.5	Watch
	2.3	2.92	3.5	Watch
	2.38	3.02	3.63
	2.29	3.03	3.51	Watch
	2.2	2.9	3.3
	2.28	2.94	3.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.13)	2.99 ↑ (2.95)	3.48 ↓ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

River Plate
41.4%

Draw
31.6%

Boca Juniors
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

30.9%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

29.1%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

River Plate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Boca Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	42.9%	14.3%

River Plate - Boca Juniors Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. River Plate will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Boca Juniors will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. River Plate (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Beltran S. (G) 29. Montiel G. 28. Martinez Quarta L. (C) 13. Rivero L. 21. Acuna M. 24. Meza J. 6. Moreno A. 26. Galvan T. 19. Paez K. 9. Driussi S. 11. Colidio F.	12. Brey L. (G) 23. Weigandt M. 2. Di Lollo L. 32. Costa A. 3. Blanco L. 25. Ascacibar S. 5. Paredes L. (C) 18. Delgado M. 36. Aranda T. 16. Miguel Merentiel 28. Bareiro A.
Substitutes
16. Bustos F. 33. Centurion E. (G) 17. Diaz P. 35. Freitas J. 36. Gimenez U. 34. Giuliano Galoppo 39. Lencina S. 25. Pereyra L. 20. Pezzella G. 7. Salas M. 38. Subiabre I. 18. Vina M.	15. Alarcon Cepeda W. H. 29. Angel Romero 24. Barinaga J. 30. Belmonte T. 27. Braida M. 4. Figal J. 13. Garcia J. (G) 9. Gimenez M. 21. Herrera A. 26. Pellegrino M. 20. Velasco A. 7. Zeballos E.
Coaches
Coudet E.	Ubeda C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', Bareiro A. 🟨,
18', Driussi S. ↓, Salas M. ↑,
34', Colidio F. 🟨,
42', Rivero L. 🟨,
45+6', 0 - 1, Paredes L. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Meza J. ↓, Giuliano Galoppo ↑,
57', Paez K. ↓, Freitas J. ↑,
60', Acuna M. 🟨,
60', Paredes L. 🟨,
69', Miguel Merentiel ↓, Zeballos E. ↑,
72', Paredes L. ↓, Herrera A. ↑,
72', Aranda T. ↓, Belmonte T. ↑,
82', Bareiro A. ↓, Gimenez M. ↑,
83', Martinez Quarta L. 🟨,
86', Gimenez M. 🟨,
88', Rivero L. ↓, Subiabre I. ↑,
90+3', Salas M. 🟨,
90+3', Herrera A. 🟨,
90+4', Montiel G. 🟨,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, River Plate won 2.

Each of the two teams have built a series of wins lately.

River Plate may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

River Plate is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in River Plate: Armani F. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Costantini G. (Knee Injury) Giuliano Galoppo (Ankle Injury) Meza M. (Foot Injury) Portillo J. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Boca Juniors: Battaglia R. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Carlos Palacios (Knee Injury) Cavani E. (Lower Back Injury)

There are questionable in Boca Juniors: Marchesin A. (Injury) Paredes L. (Injury)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, River Plate won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 1.1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, River Plate won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.4:1.3).

Outrights of Argentinian Liga Profesional for now

Boca Juniors: 12.04% River Plate: 9.63%

Last Results with these Odds

Boca Juniors - the odds 3.5 are the expected chance of winning is 26.09%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- River Plate
Copa Sudamericana
15.04.26	River Plate - Carabobo	1:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
12.04.26	Racing - River Plate	0:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
08.04.26	Blooming - River Plate	1:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
05.04.26	River Plate - Belgrano	3:0 ✺
22.03.26	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - River Plate	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWTWW
- Boca Juniors
Copa Libertadores
14.04.26	Boca Juniors - Barcelona Guayaquil	3:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
11.04.26	Boca Juniors - Independiente	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
07.04.26	Universidad Católica - Boca Juniors	1:2 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
02.04.26	Talleres de Córdoba - Boca Juniors	0:1 ✺
22.03.26	Boca Juniors - Instituto Córdoba	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
09.11.25	Boca Juniors - River Plate	2:0
27.04.25	River Plate - Boca Juniors	2:1
21.09.24	Boca Juniors - River Plate	0:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
21.04.24	River Plate - Boca Juniors	2:3
25.02.24	River Plate - Boca Juniors	1:1
01.10.23	Boca Juniors - River Plate	0:2
Argentinian Liga Profesional
07.05.23	River Plate - Boca Juniors	1:0

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