Match Info

Liga Profesional - Apertura - Play Offs - Final

Date: 24 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes (Cordoba)

Referee: Perez Y. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


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World	Onefootball


	River Plate		Belgrano

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.75	3.8	Watch
	2.05	2.95	3.9
	2.32	2.88	3.7	Watch
	2.36	2.88	3.88
	2.24	2.8	4	Watch
	2.25	2.75	3.5
	2.24	2.97	3.71	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (1.82)	2.85 ↓ (3.28)	3.78 ↓ (4.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

River Plate
42%

Draw
33%

Belgrano
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

28.8%

19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

28.5%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

River Plate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that River Plate's form might have worsened.

Belgrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Belgrano's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for River Plate, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belgrano than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Belgrano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

River Plate - Belgrano Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. River Plate will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for River Plate: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Beltran S. (G) 16. Bustos F. 28. Martinez Quarta L. (C) 13. Rivero L. 21. Acuna M. 15. Fausto Vera 6. Moreno A. 24. Meza J. 11. Colidio F. 26. Galvan T. 35. Freitas J.	25. Cardozo T. (G) 45. Falcon A. 14. Morales L. 2. Maldonado A. 3. Sporle A. 24. Rigoni E. 21. Sanchez A. 5. Longo S. 53. Velazquez J. 9. Passerini L. 10. Zelarayan L. (C)
Substitutes
1. Armani F. (G) 22. Castano K. 34. Giuliano Galoppo 31. Gonzalez F. 8. Meza M. 29. Montiel G. 19. Paez K. 25. Pereyra L. 20. Pezzella G. 10. Quintero J. 7. Salas M. 44. Silva L.	26. Benitez Cabrera A. J. 22. Fernandez N. 11. Gonzalez F. 37. Gutierrez L. 51. Hernandes R. 42. Lucco J. 32. Mavilla J. 13. Ocampo A. 16. Ricca F. 23. Vicentini M. (G) 30. Zelarayan G.
Coaches
Coudet E.	Zielinski R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', Moreno A. 🟨,
18', 1 - 0, Colidio F. ⚽, Galvan T. (A),
26', 1 - 1, Morales L. ⚽, Zelarayan L. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Maldonado A. ↓, Ocampo A. ↑,
48', Passerini L. 🟨,
60', 2 - 1, Galvan T. ⚽, Colidio F. (A),
63', Longo S. ↓, Vazquez F. ↑,
63', Velazquez J. ↓, Hernandes R. ↑,
70', Acuna M. ↓, Pezzella G. ↑,
74', Sanchez A. 🟨,
76', Passerini L. ↓, Fernandez N. ↑,
83', 2 - 2, Fernandez N. (Penalty Awarded),
88', 2 - 3, Fernandez N. ⚽, Vazquez F. (A),
89', Meza J. ↓, Quintero J. ↑,
90+1', Rigoni E. ↓, Ricca F. ↑,
90+1', Coudet E. 🟥,
90+2', Galvan T. ↓, Paez K. ↑,
90+2', Moreno A. ↓, Salas M. ↑,
90+4', Vazquez F. 🟨,

Preview

Neutral location - Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes.

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

River Plate has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Belgrano is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Belgrano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, River Plate has had a series of home games.

In this match, River Plate is a strong favorite.

There will not play in River Plate: Costantini G. (Knee Injury) Driussi S. (Knee Injury) Portillo J. (Knee Injury) Ramirez T. (Inactive) Ruberto A. (Knee Injury)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, River Plate won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 1.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, River Plate won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:2. (average 2:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

River Plate - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 51.91%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- River Plate
Copa Sudamericana
20.05.26	River Plate - Red Bull Bragantino	1:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
16.05.26	River Plate - Rosario Central	1:0 ✺
13.05.26	River Plate - Gimnasia La Plata	2:0 ✺
10.05.26	River Plate - San Lorenzo	3:2 penalties ✺
Copa Sudamericana
07.05.26	Carabobo - River Plate	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TWWWW
- Belgrano de Cordoba
Argentinian Liga Profesional
17.05.26	Argentinos Juniors - Belgrano	1:2 penalties ✺
12.05.26	Belgrano - Unión Santa Fe	2:0 ✺
09.05.26	Talleres de Córdoba - Belgrano	0:1 ✺
03.05.26	Belgrano - Sarmiento de Junín	4:0 ✺
26.04.26	Belgrano - Gimnasia La Plata	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
05.04.26	River Plate - Belgrano	3:0
18.05.24	River Plate - Belgrano	3:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
03.12.23	River Plate - Belgrano	2:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
04.02.23	Belgrano - River Plate	2:1
05.08.12	River Plate - Belgrano	0:1

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