Match Info

Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 1

Date: 7 April 2026, Tuesday

Location: Claro Arena (Santiago de Chile)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports, Mi Telefe, Telefe
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Bolivia	ESPN 2, ESPN 5
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Paramount+
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Max Sport 4, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	Disney+, ESPN Premium
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN 5
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Ecuador	ESPN 2, ESPN 5
Israel	Sport 3
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 4
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Paraguay	ESPN 2, ESPN 5
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN 5
Poland	Polsat Sport 1
Portugal	Sport TV3
Spain	LaLiga+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN 5, Inter
World	Pluto TV


	Universidad Católica		Boca Juniors

	1	X	2
	3.7	3	2.25	Watch
	3.45	3.05	2.18
	3.59	3.17	2.25
	3.58	3.22	2.16
	3.4	2.9	2.15	Watch
	3.72	3.12	2.21	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.57 ↑ (3.55)	3.08 ↓ (3.09)	2.2 ↑ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universidad Católica
26.4%

Draw
30.7%

Boca Juniors
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.3%

30.1%

43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.1%

29.8%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universidad Católica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Boca Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Católica than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	44.4%	33.3%

Universidad Católica - Boca Juniors Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Uni Católica will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Boca Juniors will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bernedo V. (G) 2. Gonzalez D. 19. Ampuero B. 26. Diaz J. 3. Mena E. 20. Valencia J. 11. Montes C. 17. Medel G. 15. Cuevas C. 7. Giani J. 9. Zampedri F. (C)	12. Brey L. (G) 23. Weigandt M. 2. Di Lollo L. 32. Costa A. 3. Blanco L. 25. Ascacibar S. 5. Paredes L. (C) 18. Delgado M. 36. Aranda T. 16. Miguel Merentiel 28. Bareiro A.
Substitutes
13. Canales A. 46. Carcamo V. 28. Cerezo B. 25. Corral D. 22. Gomez M. 39. L’Huillier N. 14. Martinez J. A. 27. Melo D. (G) 10. Palavecino M. 18. Rossel J. 30. Valencia D. 8. Zuqui F.	15. Alarcon Cepeda W. H. 29. Angel Romero 24. Barinaga J. 30. Belmonte T. 27. Braida M. 4. Figal J. 13. Garcia J. (G) 9. Gimenez M. 21. Herrera A. 26. Pellegrino M. 38. Rey Domenech C. 20. Velasco A.
Coaches
Garnero D.	Ubeda C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', Zampedri F. 🟨,
10', Paredes L. 🟨,
16', 0 - 1, Paredes L. ⚽,
32', Valencia J. 🟨,
39', Blanco L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Medel G. ↓, Zuqui F. ↑,
52', Zuqui F. 🟨,
56', Montes C. ↓, Palavecino M. ↑,
65', 0 - 2, Bareiro A. ⚽, Blanco L. (A),
70', Miguel Merentiel ↓, Herrera A. ↑,
77', Weigandt M. ↓, Barinaga J. ↑,
77', Bareiro A. ↓, Gimenez M. ↑,
78', Cuevas C. 🟨,
83', 1 - 2, Diaz J. ⚽,
88', Valencia J. ↓, Valencia D. ↑,
88', Cuevas C. ↓, Martinez J. A. ↑,
90+3', Gonzalez D. ↓, Corral D. ↑,
90+4', Aranda T. ↓, Pellegrino M. ↑,

Preview

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Boca Juniors may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Boca Juniors might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Boca Juniors: Battaglia R. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Carlos Palacios (Knee Injury) Cavani E. (Lower Back Injury) Marchesin A. (Injury) Zeballos E. (Hamstring Injury) Zufiaurre I. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Uni Católica: Farias A. (Injury)

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Outrights of Copa Libertadores for now

U. Catolica: 0.99%

Last Results with these Odds

Boca Juniors - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 43.58%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universidad Católica
Chilean Primera Division
02.04.26	Universidad Católica - Palestino	6:1 ✺
Chilean Copa de la Liga
30.03.26	Cobresal - Universidad Católica	1:3 ✺
25.03.26	Ñublense - Universidad Católica	1:0 ✺
22.03.26	Universidad Católica - Universidad de Concepción	2:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
14.03.26	Universidad Católica - Everton de Viña	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWLWT
- Boca Juniors
Argentinian Liga Profesional
02.04.26	Talleres de Córdoba - Boca Juniors	0:1 ✺
22.03.26	Boca Juniors - Instituto Córdoba	2:0 ✺
15.03.26	Unión Santa Fe - Boca Juniors	1:1 ✺
11.03.26	Boca Juniors - San Lorenzo	1:1 ✺
04.03.26	Lanús - Boca Juniors	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWTTW

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