Match Info

Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 2

Date: 14 April 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Alberto J. Armando (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Roldan W. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Bolivia	ESPN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Paramount+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	Disney+, ESPN 5
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Ecuador	ESPN
Germany	Magenta Sport, Sportdigital1+
Israel	Sport 4
Italy	Como TV
Kosovo	Arena Premium 1
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 2
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Paraguay	ESPN
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Portugal	Sport TV1
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Spain	LaLiga+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
World	Onefootball


	Boca Juniors		Barcelona Guayaquil

	1	X	2
	1.33	5.25	9	Watch
	1.32	4.45	11	Watch
	1.31	4.87	12.82
	1.31	4.93	11.27	Watch
	1.3	4.4	11	Watch
	1.32	5.16	8.43	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.52)	4.84 ↑ (3.9)	10.59 ↑ (6.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boca Juniors
71.6%

Draw
19.5%

Barcelona Guayaquil
8.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.1%

23.8%

15.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.8%

23.2%

14.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boca Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Boca Juniors's performance.

Barcelona Guayaquil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Barcelona Guayaquil might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Boca Juniors that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona Guayaquil than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barcelona Guayaquil could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	12.5%	12.5%

Boca Juniors - Barcelona Guayaquil Predictions

Users Predictions: Boca Juniors will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Marchesin A. (G) 23. Weigandt M. 2. Di Lollo L. 32. Costa A. 3. Blanco L. 25. Ascacibar S. 5. Paredes L. (C) 18. Delgado M. 36. Aranda T. 16. Miguel Merentiel 28. Bareiro A.	1. Contreras J. (G) 18. Carabali B. 14. Rangel A. 33. Baez J. 3. Sosa L. 4. Vallecilla G. 35. Intriago J. 32. Lugo M. 28. Quinonez Ruiz J. R. (C) 16. Cano L. 9. Benedetto D.
Substitutes
15. Alarcon Cepeda W. H. 29. Angel Romero 24. Barinaga J. 30. Belmonte T. 27. Braida M. 12. Brey L. (G) 4. Figal J. 9. Gimenez M. 21. Herrera A. 26. Pellegrino M. 20. Velasco A. 7. Zeballos E.	26. Castillo B. 22. Cevallos J. (G) 44. Chala Rosales W. J. 7. Gomez J. 23. Martinez T. 12. Mina J. 5. Montano C. 80. Nunez S. 11. Parrales M. 15. Perlaza J. 27. Vargas W. 21. Villalba H.
Coaches
Ubeda C.	Farias Acosta C. A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
1', Bareiro A. 🟨,
7', Intriago J. 🟨,
12', Marchesin A. ↓, Brey L. ↑,
39', 1 - 0, Di Lollo L. ⚽, Blanco L. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Intriago J. ↓, Villalba H. ↑,
46', Cano L. ↓, Castillo B. ↑,
52', Quinonez Ruiz J. R. 🟨,
61', Vallecilla G. ↓, Mina J. ↑,
61', Benedetto D. ↓, Nunez S. ↑,
68', Sosa L. ↓, Parrales M. ↑,
74', Miguel Merentiel ↓, Zeballos E. ↑,
81', 2 - 0, Ascacibar S. ⚽, Blanco L. (A),
86', Bareiro A. ↓, Gimenez M. ↑,
86', Aranda T. ↓, Herrera A. ↑,
86', Paredes L. ↓, Velasco A. ↑,
90+4', 3 - 0, Herrera A. ⚽, Velasco A. (A),

Preview

Boca Juniors is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Barcelona has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Boca Juniors may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Boca Juniors is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Boca Juniors: Battaglia R. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Carlos Palacios (Knee Injury) Cavani E. (Lower Back Injury) Zufiaurre I. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Barcelona: Garcia J. (Injury) Rojas J. (Injury)

We predict that Boca Juniors will win today's game, with odds of 1.39.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Boca Juniors won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 0.8:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Boca Juniors won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boca Juniors
Argentinian Liga Profesional
11.04.26	Boca Juniors - Independiente	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
07.04.26	Universidad Católica - Boca Juniors	1:2 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
02.04.26	Talleres de Córdoba - Boca Juniors	0:1 ✺
22.03.26	Boca Juniors - Instituto Córdoba	2:0 ✺
15.03.26	Unión Santa Fe - Boca Juniors	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TWWWT
- Barcelona Guayaquil
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
10.04.26	Barcelona Guayaquil - Leones del Norte	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
07.04.26	Barcelona Guayaquil - Cruzeiro	0:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
03.04.26	LDU Quito - Barcelona Guayaquil	0:2 ✺
22.03.26	Barcelona Guayaquil - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	1:1 ✺
18.03.26	Libertad Loja - Barcelona Guayaquil	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
20.05.21	Boca Juniors - Barcelona Guayaquil	0:0
04.05.21	Barcelona Guayaquil - Boca Juniors	1:0
03.04.13	Boca Juniors - Barcelona Guayaquil	1:0
27.02.13	Barcelona Guayaquil - Boca Juniors	1:2

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