Match Info

Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 12

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Alberto J. Armando (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Rey Hilfer L. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN Premium
Bolivia	ESPN
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Ecuador	ESPN
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Israel	Sport 2
Italy	Como TV, Sportitalia
Mexico	Disney+
Paraguay	ESPN
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Portugal	Sport TV4
Serbia	Arena Premium 5
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
World	Onefootball, TyC Sports Internacional


	Boca Juniors		Instituto Córdoba

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.5	6.5	Watch
	1.78	3.2	5
	1.65	3.5	5.8	Watch
	1.66	3.54	6.63
	1.63	3.62	6.2	Watch
	1.6	3.25	6
	1.62	3.56	6.95	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.66)	3.45 ↑ (3.4)	6.15 ↑ (6.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Boca Juniors
57.4%

Draw
27.3%

Instituto Córdoba
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

27.8%

15.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3%

27.1%

15%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boca Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Instituto Córdoba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Instituto Córdoba than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	9.1%	9.1%

Boca Juniors - Instituto Córdoba Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Boca Juniors (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Boca Juniors will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Marchesin A. (G) 23. Weigandt M. 2. Di Lollo L. 32. Costa A. 3. Blanco L. 5. Paredes L. (C) 18. Delgado M. 21. Herrera A. 36. Aranda T. 28. Bareiro A. 16. Miguel Merentiel	28. Roffo M. (G) 22. Massaccesi A. 26. Mosevich L. 6. Alarcon F. R. (C) 44. Cerato G. 55. Abregu G. 19. Lodico G. A. 3. Sosa D. 20. Cordoba Mosquera J. E. 11. Fonseca M. 10. Luna A.
Substitutes
15. Alarcon Cepeda W. H. 24. Barinaga J. 27. Braida M. 12. Brey L. (G) 4. Figal J. 37. Gelini G. 11. Janson L. 26. Pellegrino M. 38. Rey Domenech C. 20. Velasco A. 22. Zenon K. 41. Zufiaurre I.	8. Acevedo J. 2. De La Fuente H. 15. Gallardo M. 30. Galvan J. 7. Guerra N. 21. Lazaro J. 16. Maldonado L. (G) 13. Mendez J. 5. Moyano F. 70. Ordonez G. 72. Rafaelli L. 17. Tissera M.
Coaches
Ubeda C.	Flores D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+1', Cordoba Mosquera J. E. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
51', 1 - 0, Aranda T. ⚽, Miguel Merentiel (A),
56', 2 - 0, Bareiro A. ⚽,
68', Massaccesi A. ↓, Tissera M. ↑,
68', Fonseca M. ↓, Guerra N. ↑,
71', Herrera A. ↓, Velasco A. ↑,
73', Luna A. ↓, Lazaro J. ↑,
82', Marchesin A. ↓, Brey L. ↑,
86', Lodico G. A. ↓, Gallardo M. ↑,
87', Cordoba Mosquera J. E. ↓, Rafaelli L. ↑,
90+2', Paredes L. ↓, Rey Domenech C. ↑,
90+2', Aranda T. ↓, Zufiaurre I. ↑,
90+6', Guerra N. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 12).

Boca Juniors is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Instituto's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Boca Juniors is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Boca Juniors: Angel Romero (Injury) Battaglia R. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Belmonte T. (Inactive) Carlos Palacios (Knee Injury) Cavani E. (Lower Back Injury) Gimenez M. (Groin Injury) Zeballos E. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Instituto: Acevedo J. (Inactive) Albarracin L. (Inactive) Bravo A. (Inactive) Erquiaga I. (Inactive) Romero J. (Injury) Sittaro Miranda E. O. (Inactive) Suarez F. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Instituto: Cordoba Mosquera J. E. (Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Boca Juniors won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Boca Juniors won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boca Juniors
Argentinian Liga Profesional
15.03.26	Unión Santa Fe - Boca Juniors	1:1 ✺
11.03.26	Boca Juniors - San Lorenzo	1:1 ✺
04.03.26	Lanús - Boca Juniors	0:3 ✺
28.02.26	Boca Juniors - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	1:1 ✺
Copa Argentina
24.02.26	Boca Juniors - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TTWTW
- Instituto Córdoba
Argentinian Liga Profesional
16.03.26	Instituto Córdoba - Independiente	2:1 ✺
12.03.26	Talleres de Córdoba - Instituto Córdoba	2:0 ✺
01.03.26	Instituto Córdoba - Unión Santa Fe	1:2 ✺
24.02.26	San Lorenzo - Instituto Córdoba	1:1 ✺
20.02.26	Instituto Córdoba - Atlético Tucumán	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
28.07.24	Instituto Córdoba - Boca Juniors	0:0
19.03.23	Boca Juniors - Instituto Córdoba	2:3

Upcoming Matches