Match Info

Division Intermedia - Round 27

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio River Plate (Asunción)


	River Plate Asunción		Independiente Asuncion

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.9	2.95
	2.23	2.92	3.05
	2.44	2.84	3.20	Watch
	2.3	2.96	3.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↓ (2.34)	2.91 ↓ (3.02)	3.07 ↑ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

River Plate Asunción
39.3%

Draw
31.2%

Independiente Asuncion
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

30.1%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

29.9%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

River Plate Asunción has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Independiente Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate Asunción than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Asuncion than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

River Plate Asunción - Independiente Asuncion Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
55', 1 - 0, ⚽,
58', 2 - 0, ⚽,
79', 🟥,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 and 14).

River Plate has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Independiente FBC is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

River Plate may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, River Plate won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, River Plate won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Independiente Asuncion - the odds 2.94 are the expected chance of winning is 30.96%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- River Plate Asunción
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
07.09.25	Sol de América - River Plate Asunción	1:0 ✺
28.08.25	River Plate Asunción - Fernando de la Mora	0:3 ✺
22.08.25	Encarnación - River Plate Asunción	1:1 ✺
19.08.25	River Plate Asunción - 12 de Junio	2:1 ✺
16.08.25	Deportivo Capiatá - River Plate Asunción	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 LLTWW
- Independiente Asuncion
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
08.09.25	Independiente Asuncion - Rubio Ñu	0:2 ✺
31.08.25	Pastoreo - Independiente Asuncion	1:2 ✺
24.08.25	Independiente Asuncion - Deportivo Santaní	1:1 ✺
20.08.25	Tacuary - Independiente Asuncion	1:0 ✺
17.08.25	Independiente Asuncion - Resistencia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Division Intermedia
06.06.25	Independiente Asuncion - River Plate Asunción	1:1
09.09.22	Independiente Asuncion - River Plate Asunción	1:0
06.06.22	River Plate Asunción - Independiente Asuncion	2:0

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