Match Info

Date: 27 December 2020, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	River Plate Montevideo		Arsenal Sarandí

	1	X	2
	1.25	4.75	12	Watch
	1.22	5.5	9.25
	1.22	5.4	11.5
	1.23	5.2	9.8
	1.24	5.8	13.04
	1.3	4.5	9
	1.26	5.95	11.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.38)	5.3 ↑ (4.26)	10.87 ↑ (7.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

River Plate Montevideo
74.1%

Draw
17.4%

Arsenal Sarandí
8.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

66.1%

21.4%

12.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.2%

15.7%

9.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

River Plate Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in River Plate Montevideo's performance.

Arsenal Sarandí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate Montevideo than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Sarandí than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.2%	11.5%	19.2%

River Plate Montevideo - Arsenal Sarandí Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. River Plate will win (votes: 18 - 69.2%). Arsenal Sarandí will win (votes: 5 - 19.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 11.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for River Plate: 51.5% – 86.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

River Plate is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Arsenal Sarandí is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

River Plate could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match River Plate is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches River Plate won 3 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 17-13.

Including matches at home between the teams River Plate won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- River Plate Montevideo
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
20.12.20	Huracán - River Plate Montevideo	1:3 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
18.12.20	San Lorenzo - River Plate Montevideo	0:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
17.12.20	Nacional - River Plate Montevideo	2:6 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
13.12.20	River Plate Montevideo - Argentinos Juniors	1:1 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
12.12.20	River Plate Montevideo - Nacional Asuncion	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WTWTT
- Arsenal Sarandí
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
18.12.20	Arsenal Sarandí - Argentinos Juniors	0:1 ✺
12.12.20	Boca Juniors - Arsenal Sarandí	1:1 ✺
05.12.20	Arsenal Sarandí - Racing	1:0 ✺
30.11.20	Atlético Tucumán - Arsenal Sarandí	3:2 ✺
20.11.20	Arsenal Sarandí - Unión Santa Fe	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
18.10.19	Arsenal Sarandí - River Plate Montevideo	3:3
22.04.18	Arsenal Sarandí - River Plate Montevideo	0:3
30.10.16	Arsenal Sarandí - River Plate Montevideo	2:2
Copa Argentina
22.09.16	River Plate Montevideo - Arsenal Sarandí	1:0
Argentinian Liga Profesional
20.05.16	Arsenal Sarandí - River Plate Montevideo	2:1
16.03.15	Arsenal Sarandí - River Plate Montevideo	3:3
25.09.14	Arsenal Sarandí - River Plate Montevideo	1:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- River Plate Montevideo
Uruguayan Segunda Division
01.11.26	River Plate Montevideo - Tacuarembó	✺
- Arsenal Sarandí
Argentinian Primera B
31.10.26	Deportivo Merlo - Arsenal Sarandí	✺

River Plate Montevideo - Arsenal Sarandí