The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
River Plate Montevideo 74.1%
Draw 17.4%
Arsenal Sarandí 8.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
66.1%
21.4%
12.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
75.2%
18.8%
10.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
River Plate Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in River Plate Montevideo's performance.
Arsenal Sarandí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate Montevideo than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Sarandí than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
69.2%
11.5%
19.2%
River Plate Montevideo - Arsenal Sarandí Predictions
Users Predictions:
26 users predict this event. River Plate will win (votes: 18 - 69.2%). Arsenal Sarandí will win (votes: 5 - 19.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 11.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for River Plate: 51.5% – 86.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Preview
River Plate is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Arsenal Sarandí is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
River Plate could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match River Plate is the unquestionable favorite.
Last 11 head-to-head matches River Plate won 3 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 17-13.
Including matches at home between the teams River Plate won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.