Match Info

Date: 18 December 2020, Friday 🏁 Finished


	San Lorenzo		River Plate Montevideo

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.2	2.5	Watch
	2.6	3.1	2.55
	2.35	3.4	2.65
	2.42	3.3	2.65
	2.54	3.58	2.78
	2.45	3.4	2.62
	2.43	3.54	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↓ (2.82)	3.36 ↑ (3.25)	2.63 ↑ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Lorenzo
37.4%

Draw
27.5%

River Plate Montevideo
35.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.4%

28.2%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.6%

20.5%

55.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Lorenzo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

River Plate Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (-13.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Lorenzo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate Montevideo than the current prediction. (+20.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that River Plate Montevideo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

San Lorenzo - River Plate Montevideo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The neighbours in a tournament table will play in a very interesting match (ranked 9 and 11).

Recent matches San Lorenzo is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

River Plate is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

San Lorenzo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently River Plate have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 21 head-to-head matches San Lorenzo won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 16-20.

Including matches at home between the teams San Lorenzo won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Lorenzo
Paraguayan Primera Division
13.12.20	Cerro Porteño - San Lorenzo	1:1 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
12.12.20	San Lorenzo - Talleres de Córdoba	0:2 ✺
07.12.20	San Lorenzo - Aldosivi	0:0 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
06.12.20	San Lorenzo - Sol de América	2:2 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
30.11.20	Estudiantes La Plata - San Lorenzo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TLTTT
- River Plate Montevideo
Copa Libertadores
17.12.20	Nacional - River Plate Montevideo	2:6 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
13.12.20	River Plate Montevideo - Argentinos Juniors	1:1 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
12.12.20	River Plate Montevideo - Nacional Asuncion	1:1 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
11.12.20	River Plate Montevideo - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	3:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
10.12.20	River Plate Montevideo - Nacional	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
25.08.20	San Lorenzo - River Plate Montevideo	0:0
17.02.20	River Plate Montevideo - San Lorenzo	4:2
15.12.19	San Lorenzo - River Plate Montevideo	2:0
Argentinian Liga Profesional
08.12.19	River Plate Montevideo - San Lorenzo	0:1
Paraguayan Primera Division
24.09.19	River Plate Montevideo - San Lorenzo	0:0
23.03.19	River Plate Montevideo - San Lorenzo	2:1
22.01.19	San Lorenzo - River Plate Montevideo	1:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Lorenzo
Argentinian Liga Profesional
31.10.26	Vélez Sársfield - San Lorenzo	✺
- River Plate Montevideo
Uruguayan Segunda Division
01.11.26	River Plate Montevideo - Tacuarembó	✺

San Lorenzo - River Plate Montevideo