The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
San Lorenzo 37.4%
Draw 27.5%
River Plate Montevideo 35.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.4%
28.2%
39.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.8%
19.8%
55.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Lorenzo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
River Plate Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (-14.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Lorenzo that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate Montevideo than the current prediction. (+20.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that River Plate Montevideo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
San Lorenzo - River Plate Montevideo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
The neighbours in a tournament table will play in a very interesting match (ranked 9 and 11).
Recent matches San Lorenzo is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
River Plate is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
San Lorenzo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently River Plate have a series of home games.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 21 head-to-head matches San Lorenzo won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 16-20.
Including matches at home between the teams San Lorenzo won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12-9.
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