Match Info

Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 10

Date: 6 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Belvedere (Montevideo)

Referee: Lasso L. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Russia	Viju+ Sport
Spain	Gol Play
Uruguay	VTV+
World	Disney+


	Liverpool Montevideo		River Plate Montevideo

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.6	5.5	Watch
	1.58	3.8	5
	1.62	3.85	5	Watch
	1.63	3.79	5.28	Watch
	1.6	3.7	5.5
	1.61	3.81	5.39	Watch
	1.62	3.85	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.68)	3.77 ↑ (3.65)	5.24 ↑ (4.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liverpool Montevideo
57.7%

Draw
24.6%

River Plate Montevideo
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

25.4%

19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6%

23.9%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liverpool Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

River Plate Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liverpool Montevideo than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate Montevideo than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Liverpool Montevideo - River Plate Montevideo Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Liverpool (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Liverpool Montevideo will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Lentinelly S. (G) 4. Perdomo F. 2. Rea M. 26. Cabral N. 18. Cayetano A. 80. Napoli G. 20. Rabunal M. 8. Quintana H. 24. Amaro K. 10. Hernandez A. 7. Vallejo N.	25. Correa Gonzalez F. N. (G) 4. Pertusatti Gonzalez L. O. 3. Ramos N. 13. Almeida C. (C) 21. Cabrera R. 7. Quintana J. 15. Jourdan E. 22. Alfonso M. 11. De Los Santos J. 19. Barone F. 18. Lopez I.
Substitutes
16. Acosta L. 23. Castillo E. 13. de Luca A. 29. de Mello G. 19. Forclaz E. 9. Machado R. 25. Marquez E. (G) 6. Milano S. 17. Soria N. 31. Wasilewsky L.	17. Cachi M. 29. Camejo L. 9. Correa T. 14. De Leon F. 1. Frascarelli D. (G) 27. Lopez I. 20. Mederos S. 26. Orono G. 2. Perez F. 23. Rodriguez F.
Coaches
Papa J.	Ribas J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Alfonso M. 🟨,
64', Cabral N. 🟥,
64', Pertusatti Gonzalez L. O. ↓, De Leon F. ↑,
64', Cabrera R. ↓, Camejo L. ↑,
65', Barone F. ↓, Correa T. ↑,
68', De Los Santos J. ↓, Mederos S. ↑,
68', Alfonso M. ↓, Lopez I. ↑,
68', Amaro K. ↓, Castillo E. ↑,
68', Hernandez A. ↓, Machado R. ↑,
73', Lopez I. 🟨,
73', Mederos S. 🟨,
77', Napoli G. ↓, Forclaz E. ↑,
80', Forclaz E. 🟨,
89', Vallejo N. ↓, Acosta L. ↑,
89', Quintana H. ↓, Wasilewsky L. ↑,
90', Quintana J. 🟨,
90', Wasilewsky L. 🟨,
90+6', Jourdan E. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Liverpool won 2.

Liverpool in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

River Plate has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Liverpool could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Liverpool is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Liverpool to win the game is with odds 1.61.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Liverpool won 8 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 27:32 (average 1.4:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Liverpool won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 20:17 (average 1.8:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Liverpool Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
29.03.25	Boston River - Liverpool Montevideo	0:1 ✺
26.03.25	Liverpool Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo	2:2 ✺
20.03.25	Peñarol de Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo	0:3 ✺
15.03.25	Liverpool Montevideo - Montevideo City Torque	4:1 ✺
07.03.25	Defensor Sporting - Liverpool Montevideo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 31.1 WTWWW
- River Plate Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
29.03.25	River Plate Montevideo - Plaza Colonia	1:2 ✺
26.03.25	Racing Montevideo - River Plate Montevideo	1:0 ✺
23.03.25	Progreso - River Plate Montevideo	2:1 ✺
17.03.25	River Plate Montevideo - Boston River	0:2 ✺
08.03.25	Nacional Montevideo - River Plate Montevideo	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
04.10.24	River Plate Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo	1:1
30.03.24	Liverpool Montevideo - River Plate Montevideo	1:1
06.12.23	Liverpool Montevideo - River Plate Montevideo	2:1
13.05.23	River Plate Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo	2:0
13.10.22	River Plate Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo	0:1
22.05.22	Liverpool Montevideo - River Plate Montevideo	2:1
Copa Sudamericana
16.03.22	River Plate Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo	2:0

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