The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
River Plate Montevideo 38.1%
Draw 28.9%
Oriental de La Paz 33%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38%
29.1%
32.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.8%
30.5%
31.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
River Plate Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
Oriental de La Paz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate Montevideo than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oriental de La Paz than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
River Plate Montevideo - Oriental de La Paz Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 5th and 3rd).
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, River Plate has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 3:4 (averaging 1.5:2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for River Plate against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:3 goals.
Standings
Main
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Oriental
21
8
8
5
29:22
7
32
5
River Plate
21
8
6
7
31:26
5
30
Last Results with these Odds
River Plate Montevideo - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 37.99%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
Oriental de La Paz - the odds 2.71 are the expected chance of winning is 32.94%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.