Match Info

Date: 17 February 2020, Monday


	River Plate Montevideo		San Lorenzo

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.1	2.9	Watch
	2.3	3.2	2.85
	2.48	2.95	2.85
	2.33	3.02	2.71
	2.6	3.09	2.96
	2.4	3.1	2.9
	2.5	3.14	2.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.09)	3.09 ↓ (3.19)	2.86 ↓ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

River Plate Montevideo
38.1%

Draw
29.8%

San Lorenzo
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

28.3%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9%

20.8%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

River Plate Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that River Plate Montevideo's form might have worsened.

San Lorenzo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate Montevideo than the current prediction. (+20.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for River Plate Montevideo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for San Lorenzo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

River Plate Montevideo - San Lorenzo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- River Plate Montevideo
Argentinian Liga Profesional
16.02.20	River Plate Montevideo - Banfield	1:0 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
16.02.20	River Plate Montevideo - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	2:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
11.02.20	Deportivo Cali - River Plate Montevideo	2:1 ✺
11.02.20	Atlético Grau - River Plate Montevideo	1:2 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
09.02.20	Unión Santa Fe - River Plate Montevideo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WTLWW
- San Lorenzo
Argentinian Liga Profesional
15.02.20	Talleres de Córdoba - San Lorenzo	1:0 ✺
09.02.20	San Lorenzo - Vélez Sársfield	1:0 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
08.02.20	San Lorenzo - Nacional Asuncion	1:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
03.02.20	Newells Old Boys - San Lorenzo	1:0 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
01.02.20	Olimpia Asuncion - San Lorenzo	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
15.12.19	San Lorenzo - River Plate Montevideo	2:0
Argentinian Liga Profesional
08.12.19	River Plate Montevideo - San Lorenzo	0:1
Paraguayan Primera Division
24.09.19	River Plate Montevideo - San Lorenzo	0:0
23.03.19	River Plate Montevideo - San Lorenzo	2:1
22.01.19	San Lorenzo - River Plate Montevideo	1:0
Argentinian Liga Profesional
01.09.18	San Lorenzo - River Plate Montevideo	1:1
14.05.18	River Plate Montevideo - San Lorenzo	2:0

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