Match Info

Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 14

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Marcelo Bielsa (Rosario)

Referee: Martinez S. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN Premium
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Newells Old Boys		San Lorenzo

	1	X	2
	2.65	2.75	3.1	Watch
	2.65	2.82	3	Watch
	2.73	2.88	3.13
	2.67	2.85	3.05	Watch
	2.63	2.7	2.9
	2.64	2.77	3.02	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↓ (3.2)	2.8 ↓ (2.83)	3.03 ↑ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newells Old Boys
35.3%

Draw
33.7%

San Lorenzo
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.8%

32.6%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5%

32.3%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newells Old Boys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Newells Old Boys's performance.

San Lorenzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Lorenzo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newells Old Boys than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Newells Old Boys that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Lorenzo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Newells Old Boys - San Lorenzo Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Newells Old Boys will win (votes: 1 - 25%). San Lorenzo will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Reinatti J. (G) 14. Mendez A. 15. Salcedo S. 22. Salomon O. 28. Russo J. 26. Herrera R. 5. Regiardo L. (C) 20. Guch F. 18. Mazzantti W. 13. Coccaro M. 17. Garcia F.	12. Gill O. (G) 32. Herrera E. 4. Romana J. 55. Montenegro L. 17. Rodriguez G. 8. Insaurralde M. 26. Abrego G. 6. De Ritis M. 28. Barrios N. 29. Auzmendi R. 9. Cuello A. (C)
Substitutes
37. Banos L. 1. Barlasina W. (G) 29. Esponda M. 19. Gomez J. 27. Herrera L. 9. Hoyos M. 3. Luciano M. 38. Noguera F. 33. Nunez W. 6. Ortega M. 99. Ramirez I. 36. Scarpeccio F.	16. Corujo G. 25. Devecchi J. (G) 10. Gulli F. 18. Herazo D. 14. Ladstatter A. 34. Lopez F. 42. Lorenzon F. 5. Perruzzi I. 13. Rattalino J. 11. Reali M. 3. Rodriguez Pagano T. 19. Vietto L.
Coaches
Kudelka F.	Alvarez G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Coccaro M. ↓, Scarpeccio F. ↑,
35', De Ritis M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', De Ritis M. ↓, Rodriguez Pagano T. ↑,
46', Auzmendi R. ↓, Vietto L. ↑,
46', Garcia F. ↓, Nunez W. ↑,
55', Regiardo L. 🟨,
57', Barrios N. ↓, Reali M. ↑,
61', Herrera R. ↓, Gomez J. ↑,
66', Rodriguez G. ↓, Lopez F. ↑,
71', Reali M. 🟨,
71', Mendez A. 🟨,
76', Guch F. ↓, Herrera L. ↑,
76', Mendez A. ↓, Ortega M. ↑,
77', Herrera E. 🟨,
87', Abrego G. ↓, Gulli F. ↑,
89', Vietto L. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newells Old Boys won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Newells Old Boys: Arias G. (Broken calfbone) Goitea N. (Inactive) Montero A. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in San Lorenzo: Arias N. (Knee Injury) Cerutti E. (Knee Injury) Cordoba A. (Muscle Injury) Hernandez G. (Knee Injury) Herrera D. (Knee Injury) Tripichio N. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Newells Old Boys: Cabrera B. (Injury)

There are questionable in San Lorenzo: Insaurralde M. (Injury)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Newells Old Boys won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:15. (average 1.2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Newells Old Boys won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:9. (average 1.3:0.9).

Last Results with these Odds

Newells Old Boys - the odds 3.2 are the expected chance of winning is 28.84%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newells Old Boys
Argentinian Liga Profesional
05.04.26	Central Córdoba - Newells Old Boys	1:3 ✺
Copa Argentina
29.03.26	Newells Old Boys - Acassuso	0:2 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
21.03.26	Newells Old Boys - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	1:0 ✺
17.03.26	Lanús - Newells Old Boys	5:0 ✺
10.03.26	Newells Old Boys - Platense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLWLT
- San Lorenzo
Copa Sudamericana
08.04.26	Deportivo Recoleta - San Lorenzo	1:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
03.04.26	San Lorenzo - Estudiantes La Plata	1:0 ✺
25.03.26	Deportivo Riestra - San Lorenzo	1:1 ✺
Copa Argentina
20.03.26	San Lorenzo - Deportivo Rincón	5:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
16.03.26	San Lorenzo - Defensa y Justicia	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
27.07.24	San Lorenzo - Newells Old Boys	1:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
03.03.24	Newells Old Boys - San Lorenzo	2:2
07.10.23	San Lorenzo - Newells Old Boys	0:3
Argentinian Liga Profesional
20.03.23	Newells Old Boys - San Lorenzo	1:0
09.06.22	Newells Old Boys - San Lorenzo	0:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
27.04.22	Newells Old Boys - San Lorenzo	1:2
Argentinian Liga Profesional
12.12.21	San Lorenzo - Newells Old Boys	3:2

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