Match Info

Date: 25 October 2020, Sunday


	San Lorenzo		Nacional Asuncion

	1	X	2
	2.7	3	2.55	Watch
	2.65	2.95	2.6
	2.65	2.9	2.65
	2.65	2.95	2.7
	2.77	3.13	2.84
	2.7	3	2.7	Watch
	2.64	3.18	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↓ (3.13)	3.02 ↓ (3.05)	2.67 ↑ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Lorenzo
34.6%

Draw
30.7%

Nacional Asuncion
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.6%

30.3%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

21%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Lorenzo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Nacional Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nacional Asuncion might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Lorenzo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Asuncion than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nacional Asuncion, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

San Lorenzo - Nacional Asuncion Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Recent matches San Lorenzo is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Nacional Asuncion is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 12 head-to-head matches San Lorenzo won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 10-19.

Including matches at home between the teams San Lorenzo won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Lorenzo
Paraguayan Primera Division
16.10.20	Club General Díaz - San Lorenzo	0:1 ✺
02.10.20	San Lorenzo - Cerro Porteño	1:1 ✺
26.09.20	Libertad Asuncion - San Lorenzo	3:0 ✺
19.09.20	San Lorenzo - Club General Díaz	2:1 ✺
13.09.20	Guaireña - San Lorenzo	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WTLWL
- Nacional Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
16.10.20	Olimpia Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion	1:1 ✺
02.10.20	Nacional Asuncion - Sol de América	2:2 ✺
27.09.20	Sportivo Luqueño - Nacional Asuncion	1:0 ✺
21.09.20	Nacional Asuncion - River Plate Montevideo	1:2 ✺
15.09.20	Cerro Porteño - Nacional Asuncion	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
21.08.20	Nacional Asuncion - San Lorenzo	2:0
08.02.20	San Lorenzo - Nacional Asuncion	1:1
09.12.19	Nacional Asuncion - San Lorenzo	4:2
20.09.19	San Lorenzo - Nacional Asuncion	0:3
04.04.19	Nacional Asuncion - San Lorenzo	3:1
03.02.19	San Lorenzo - Nacional Asuncion	1:0
28.09.15	Nacional Asuncion - San Lorenzo	0:2

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