Match Info

Date: 1 November 2020, Sunday


	Olimpia Asuncion		San Lorenzo

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.2	6.5	Watch
	1.45	4.2	5.75
	1.4	4.2	6.55
	1.49	4.4	5.4
	1.5	4.73	6.34
	1.44	4.33	6.5	Watch
	1.47	4.6	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↑ (1.4)	4.38 ↓ (4.44)	6.12 ↓ (6.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olimpia Asuncion
63.7%

Draw
21.2%

San Lorenzo
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.9%

20.8%

13.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

11.6%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olimpia Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

San Lorenzo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpia Asuncion than the current prediction. (-27%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Olimpia Asuncion that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Lorenzo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Olimpia Asuncion - San Lorenzo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Olimpia is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches San Lorenzo is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Olimpia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Olimpia have a series of home games.

In this match Olimpia is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Olimpia won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 33-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Olimpia won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 17-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olimpia Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
24.10.20	Guaireña - Olimpia Asuncion	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
20.10.20	Olimpia Asuncion - Delfín	0:1 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
16.10.20	Olimpia Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion	1:1 ✺
04.10.20	Olimpia Asuncion - Guaireña	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
01.10.20	Olimpia Asuncion - Santos	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLTTL
- San Lorenzo
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
31.10.20	Argentinos Juniors - San Lorenzo	0:0 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
25.10.20	San Lorenzo - Nacional Asuncion	1:1 ✺
16.10.20	Club General Díaz - San Lorenzo	0:1 ✺
02.10.20	San Lorenzo - Cerro Porteño	1:1 ✺
26.09.20	Libertad Asuncion - San Lorenzo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
17.08.20	San Lorenzo - Olimpia Asuncion	2:2
01.02.20	Olimpia Asuncion - San Lorenzo	4:2
01.12.19	San Lorenzo - Olimpia Asuncion	1:4
15.09.19	Olimpia Asuncion - San Lorenzo	4:1
30.03.19	San Lorenzo - Olimpia Asuncion	1:4
26.01.19	Olimpia Asuncion - San Lorenzo	2:0
21.11.15	Olimpia Asuncion - San Lorenzo	3:2

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